The January 28, 2025, Commercial Pulse Report reveals fascinating insights into the evolving U.S. economy, with a spotlight on the transportation and warehousing sector—a critical backbone of global trade and supply chains. Watch Our Commercial Pulse Update Over the past year, this industry has experienced steady growth, largely fueled by younger businesses. Companies less than two years old now account for a remarkable 50% of new commercial credit accounts in the sector. This entrepreneurial surge reflects the industry's role as a magnet for new opportunities amid expanding global trade. Rising Credit Risks Amid Growth While the sector’s growth is a promising trend, it has come with challenges. Credit risk for transportation and warehousing businesses peaked in 2023, prompting lenders to tighten underwriting standards. This shift has led to a noticeable reduction in the total volume of commercial credit granted within the sector, making it harder for businesses to access the funding they need. Source: Experian Commercial Pulse Report Global Trade and Its Influence The broader trade environment has also played a role in shaping this industry. Global trade expanded by 3.3% in 2024, with services trade leading the way at a 7% increase. However, the U.S. trade deficit widened to $78.2 billion in November, driven by rising imports and geopolitical uncertainties. Tariff adjustments under President Trump’s administration could further impact this industry, introducing a layer of unpredictability for 2025. Looking Ahead The transportation and warehousing sector stands at a crossroads, balancing opportunities for growth with mounting credit constraints and external pressures from the global trade landscape. Businesses operating in this space will need to stay agile, exploring innovative strategies to navigate financial challenges and capitalize on expanding trade networks. For more insights into how these trends are shaping the small business economy download the Commercial Pulse Report, visit Experian’s Commercial Insights Hub or reach out to your Experian account team to explore customized solutions for your business. Download Commercial Pulse Visit Commercial Insights Hub
As small businesses prepare for growth - tariffs take center stage Experian is very pleased to announce the release of the Q3 2024 Main Street Report. Join us for a deep dive on Q3 performance Experian will share key findings from our Q3 Main Street Report in the Quarterly Business Credit Review: Tuesday, December 10th, 10:00 a.m. Pacific | 1:00 p.m. Eastern Register to attend Gain insight on small business health The Q3 2024 Experian Main Street Report offers a deep dive into the economic trends and policy shifts shaping small business performance and their credit outlook. With credit risk managers at the forefront of navigating evolving financial landscapes, the report highlights critical developments in economic stability, global trade, and credit performance. These insights are essential for refining risk assessment strategies and positioning portfolios for a resilient 2025. Download the latest report for more insight. Download Q3 Main Street Report
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Experian Summer Beyond The Trends Report Now Available We are excited to announce the release of the Summer 2024 Beyond the Trends report. The report offers a unique view of the small business economy based on what we see in the data. With up-to-date information on over 33 million active businesses and how they perform from a credit standpoint, in this report, Experian shares insights and commentary on how economic conditions, public policy, and other factors might shape future small business performance. Here's our V.P. of Commercial Data Science, Brodie Oldham with his quick take. Overall, the sentiment among small businesses regarding growth is cautiously optimistic. Optimism Despite Challenges There is a general sense of optimism reflected in the U.S. Chamber of Commerce Small Business Index, which has risen to 69.5. Additionally, 73% of small businesses expect higher revenues, and 46% plan to increase investments, indicating positive growth expectations despite facing persistent challenges such as inflation, worker shortages, and rising operational costs. Government Support and Initiatives Various government programs and initiatives are bolstering small business growth by improving access to capital and providing targeted support. These initiatives include the Investing in America Small Business Hub, expansion of Women’s Business Centers, and improvements in the 7(a) and 504 Loan Programs, all aimed at facilitating job creation, growth, and sustainability. Technological Adaptation The adoption of AI and other advanced technologies by small businesses is enhancing operational efficiency and cutting costs. A significant increase in the use of AI-driven systems, such as CRM and automated inventory management, indicates that small businesses are leveraging technology to drive growth and stay competitive. Resilience Amid Economic Pressures Despite facing economic headwinds like tighter credit conditions due to higher interest rates and ongoing supply chain disruptions, small businesses have shown resilience. They continue to navigate these challenges by employing innovative strategies and adapting to the evolving economic landscape. Download your copy of the latest report and check out more insights on small businesses on our Commercial Insights Hub where you can subscribe to updates. Download Beyond The Trends Report Commercial Insights Hub
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