In this post we discuss reject inferencing and how it can help credit departments grow commercial accounts without taking on more risk.

The advanced Q1 2023 GDP numbers show that the U.S. economy grew an annualized 1.1%, down from 2.6% in Q4 2022.

Commercial loan fraud is an urgent market issue for lenders working with SMBs, our analysis and recommendations for mitigating the problem.

Labor market gives the Fed cover to keep hiking Experian Business Information Services and the economists at Oxford Economics have just released the Q3 2022 Main Street Report. The report brings deep insight into the overall financial well-being of the small-business landscape, as well as providing commentary around what specific trends mean for credit grantors and the small-business community. Report Overview Sustained consumer spending and strong job market performance have perpetuated U.S. small business health and positive market sentiment. The third quarter highlighted open and growing commercial lending markets, inclusive of all tiers of credit risk, even as measured commercial delinquencies returned to pre-pandemic levels. Signals in the financial market point to a heightened risk of a more significant U.S. economic slow-down in 2023, as consumers change spending behavior as affordability tightens and personal cashflows are challenged first in the lower income segments. Download Report Join us for the Q3 Quarterly Business Credit Review Mark your calendars for December 6th! Experian and Oxford Economics will present key findings in the latest Main Street Report for Q3 2022 during the Quarterly Business Credit Review. Ryan Sweet, Oxford’s U.S. Chief Economist will share his take on Experian’s most recent small business credit data and a macroeconomic outlook for the coming quarter. Brodie Oldham, Experian’s V.P. of Commercial Data Science, will cover commercial credit trends.

Heading into the holiday season, we'll see if consumers continue to spend at high levels, or if higher prices, higher interest rates and lower savings create a drag on sales.

Mark your calendars! Experian and Oxford Economics will present key findings in the latest Main Street Report for Q3 2022 during the Quarterly Business Credit Review. Ryan Sweet, Oxford’s U.S. Chief Economist will share his take on Experian’s most recent small business credit data and a macroeconomic outlook for the coming quarter. Brodie Oldham, Experian’s V.P. of Commercial Data Science, will cover commercial credit trends. Our Presenters Brodie Oldham, V.P. Commercial Data ScienceExperian Ryan Sweet, U.S. Chief EconomistOxford Economics Q3 2022 Main Street Report The Q3 2022 Experian/Oxford Economics Main Street report will release at the end of November. If you are not already subscribed to thought leadership updates, be sure to sign up for updates on our Commercial Insights Hub. Event Details Date: Tuesday, December 6th, 2022Time: 10:00 a.m. (Pacific), 1:00 p.m. (Eastern) Why you should attend: Leading Experts on Commercial and Macro-Economic TrendsCredit insights and trends on 30+ Million active businessesAsk our panel questions in real-timeIndustry Hot Topics Covered (Inclusive of Business Owner and Small Business Data)Commercial Insights you cannot get anywhere elsePeer Insights with Interactive Polls (Participate)Discover and understand small business trends to make informed decisionsActionable takeaways based on recent credit performance Save My Seat

The Pandemic drove a tidal wave of small business creation, with over 5.4 million new small businesses in 2021 alone, and millions more this year.  Now, the U.S. economy is continuing to change, but becoming more uncertain amid rising interest rates and worries over inflation. With the cost of money rising for small businesses, many are turning to different credit offerings to keep the cash flowing. Application fraud on the rise Some borrowers don’t always have good intentions, and credit issuers struggle to control fraud rates.  If you manage risk for a financial institution, trade credit issuer or just want to understand the persistent wave of fraudulent small business applications you should attend our upcoming webinar. Attend our webinar A Perfect Storm for Business Credit RiskDate: Tuesday, November 29th, 2022Time: 10 a.m. Pacific | 1p.m. Eastern. In this talk, Experian's Fraud Products lead, Li Mao, is joined by Sr. Analytical Consultant Emily Garrett and Brian Stack, Experian's V.P. of Engineering Services, to discuss the fraud problem and what to do about it. Li Mao, Sr. Product Manager, Experian Fraud Solutions Emily Garrett, Sr. Analytical Consultant Manager, Experian Brian Stack, V.P. Engineering Services, Experian We'll cover: New business formation, how to assess younger businessesEconomic pressures on B2B's that you are not yet reading aboutStatistics on the gathering fraud storm3 tips for smooth sailing in your credit operations Register to attend

Experian is excited to attend National Equipment Financing Association's 2022 Funding Symposium at the OMNI Nashville, Wednesday, November 2nd through Thursday, November 4th. Dennis Jordahl will be on hand in booth #41 to chat and answer questions about the solutions Experian has to help you grow your business profitably! See you in Nashville! Dennis Jordahl, Account Executive

We are pleased to announce the publication of our Fall 2022 Beyond the Trends report. The Sales are coming!! Small businesses have been building inventory over the last year driven by fears that the global supply chain could break down at any moment. This anxiety created an environment of pre-ordering behavior intended to elevate the worry felt during the height of the pandemic that their business would fail not due to a lack of shoppers, but an empty shelf. Global economic environments change quickly, and our world is seeing heightened inflation. This increase in the price of goods and services is leading to softened consumer demand. Will holiday sales keep small business afloat before consumer behavior changes. Tough challenges for newer businesses and lenders Forty percent of small business have been operating for less than 1 year. These new businesses will be challenged by a tightening credit market, rising costs, and softening consumer demand. Commercial lenders are originating 13% less high risk subprime accounts since the 2021 even as through the door high risk inquiries have increased by 59%. Average credit lines on new commercial originations dropped 3% since the beginning of the pandemic as lenders look for growth while limiting exposure. In Q22022 those lines rose 1.4% as 40% less small businesses were accessing commercial credit. Download Fall 2022 Beyond the Trends Report