Tag: Main Street Report
Labor market gives the Fed cover to keep hiking Experian Business Information Services and the economists at Oxford Economics have just released the Q3 2022 Main Street Report. The report brings deep insight into the overall financial well-being of the small-business landscape, as well as providing commentary around what specific trends mean for credit grantors and the small-business community. Report Overview Sustained consumer spending and strong job market performance have perpetuated U.S. small business health and positive market sentiment. The third quarter highlighted open and growing commercial lending markets, inclusive of all tiers of credit risk, even as measured commercial delinquencies returned to pre-pandemic levels. Signals in the financial market point to a heightened risk of a more significant U.S. economic slow-down in 2023, as consumers change spending behavior as affordability tightens and personal cashflows are challenged first in the lower income segments. Download Report Join us for the Q3 Quarterly Business Credit Review Mark your calendars for December 6th! Experian and Oxford Economics will present key findings in the latest Main Street Report for Q3 2022 during the Quarterly Business Credit Review. Ryan Sweet, Oxford’s U.S. Chief Economist will share his take on Experian’s most recent small business credit data and a macroeconomic outlook for the coming quarter. Brodie Oldham, Experian’s V.P. of Commercial Data Science, will cover commercial credit trends.
Mark your calendars! Experian and Oxford Economics will present key findings in the latest Main Street Report for Q3 2022 during the Quarterly Business Credit Review. Ryan Sweet, Oxford’s U.S. Chief Economist will share his take on Experian’s most recent small business credit data and a macroeconomic outlook for the coming quarter. Brodie Oldham, Experian’s V.P. of Commercial Data Science, will cover commercial credit trends. Our Presenters Brodie Oldham, V.P. Commercial Data ScienceExperian Ryan Sweet, U.S. Chief EconomistOxford Economics Q3 2022 Main Street Report The Q3 2022 Experian/Oxford Economics Main Street report will release at the end of November. If you are not already subscribed to thought leadership updates, be sure to sign up for updates on our Commercial Insights Hub. Event Details Date: Tuesday, December 6th, 2022Time: 10:00 a.m. (Pacific), 1:00 p.m. (Eastern) Why you should attend: Leading Experts on Commercial and Macro-Economic TrendsCredit insights and trends on 30+ Million active businessesAsk our panel questions in real-timeIndustry Hot Topics Covered (Inclusive of Business Owner and Small Business Data)Commercial Insights you cannot get anywhere elsePeer Insights with Interactive Polls (Participate)Discover and understand small business trends to make informed decisionsActionable takeaways based on recent credit performance Save My Seat
Experian and Oxford Economics have just released the Q2 Main Street Report. it offers a unique view of credit performance on millions of small businesses.
Mark your calendars! Experian and Oxford Economics will present key findings in the latest Main Street Report for Q2 2022 during the Quarterly Business Credit Review for Q2 2022. Kathy Bostjancic, Oxford's U.S. Chief Economist will share her take on Experian's most recent small business credit data and a macroeconomic outlook for the coming quarter. Brodie Oldham, Experian's V.P. of Commercial Data Science, will cover commercial credit trends. Q2 2022 Main Street Report The Q2 2022 Experian/Oxford Economics Main Street report is expected to release on August 23rd. If you are not already subscribed to thought leadership updates, be sure to sign up for updates on our Commercial Insights Hub. Mark Your Calendar Quarterly Business Credit Review Webinar Date: Wednesday, September 7th, 2022 Time: 10:00 a.m. (Pacific), 1:00 p.m. (Eastern) Why you should attend: Leading Experts on Commercial and Macro-Economic Trends Credit insights and trends on 30+ Million active businesses Ask our panel questions in real-time Industry Hot Topics Covered (Inclusive of Business Owner and Small Business Data) Commercial Insights you cannot get anywhere else Peer Insights with Interactive Polls (Participate) Discover and understand small business trends to make informed decisions Actionable takeaways based on recent credit performance Register To Attend
Experian and Oxford Economics have just released the Q1 2022 Main Street report, a window into the credit performance of small businesses complete with macroeconomic analysis. Highlights: The US economy contracted in Q1 for the first time since the pandemic-driven recession ended, but the domestic economy showed resilience in the face of Omicron, lingering supply constraints, and high inflation. Delinquency rates rose across the term periods; the 90+ days past due (DPD) climbed to 0.9 percent. Looking ahead, intensifying headwinds from more aggressive Fed tightening and tighter financial conditions will slow activity this year without stalling it. Download Q1 2022 Report Watch the Quarterly Business Credit Review Webinar Hear the experts from Experian and the lead economist from Oxford Economics unpack the latest Main Street Report. Watch the Quarterly Business Credit Review
Experian Business Information Services has just released the Q4 2021 Main Street Report. In addition to the Omicron surge, which significantly impacted labor and consumer engagement, an inflationary surge, the most significant increase since 1982, coupled with supply-and-demand imbalances, weighed heavily on US small businesses, making a notable impact on consumer sentiment. While workers were getting raises in a tight job market, rapid price increases eroded consumers’ earning power. Average wage earnings went up by 4.0% in Q4 ’21 vs. the previous year, yet a 7.5% increase in inflation results in a net decline in real earnings. Workers’ money is not going as far as it used to. Download the latest report to get the full detail on Q4 2021 small business credit performance. Download Q4 2021 Report Join us for the Q4 Quarterly Business Credit Review We will be going in-depth on the Q4 business credit trends in our upcoming Quarterly Business Credit Review. We look forward to sharing the latest small business trends with you. Register for Webinar
Experian and Moody's Analytics have just released the Q3 2021 Main Street Report. The report brings deep insight into the overall financial well-being of the small-business landscape and offers commentary on business credit trends and what they mean for lenders and small businesses. Labor shortages, wage pressure, and supply chain issues challenge small businesses Small business credit performance was mixed in the third quarter as businesses dealt with the COVID-19 Delta variant. Early-stage delinquency rates rose modestly while late state delinquency and bankruptcy rates fell decisively. With daily COVID cases falling, demand for goods and services should rise in coming quarters. Downside risks are concentrated on the supply side with businesses struggling to hire workers and dealing with supply chain stress. Early-stage delinquency rates rose in the third quarter with servicers reporting that 1.27% of small business credit balances were 31-90 days past due. While higher than the second quarter’s 1.19% rate, performance was only slightly worse than a year ago and significantly better than the pandemic high of 1.66%. Perhaps more notable was the sharp drop in late-stage delinquency, with 1.92% of balances reported as being more than 91 days past due. Supply chain issues are impacting both the availability and price of key inputs. Nowhere is this more apparent than in the semiconductor industry, where bottlenecks have shut down the manufacture of entire carlines. If you would like to get the full analysis of the data behind the latest Main Street Report, watch our Quarterly Business Credit Review webinar. Just scan the code or go to the short link and remember to download your copy of the latest report. Download Latest Report
Q2 2021 Main Street Report Highlights Experian and Moody's Analytics have just released the Q2 2021 Main Street Report. The report brings deep insight into the overall financial well-being of the small-business landscape and offers commentary on business credit trends and what they mean for lenders and small businesses. Here are a few highlights: Price increases and supply chain issues persist The labor shortage is driving wage growth in some industries GDP grew at 6.5 percent As some industries struggle to contain price increases and to survive in a post-pandemic world, others are thriving on the back of economic reopenings driving consumption. Reopenings and pent-up demand for services are pushing up economic growth and powering a robust economic recovery. Moderately delinquent small business credit, defined as 31-90 days past due (DPD), moved down in the second quarter to 1.19 percent. But severe delinquency moved higher in the second quarter to 2.35 percent. After a long period of decline, this upward movement in severe delinquency rates is the largest in the post-recession period. Rising costs is becoming a factor among small businesses as they service their credit obligations. In the most recent NFIB survey, 39 percent of respondents indicated they were raising wages. If we break this down, we can see that wages are rising at double-digit rates in industries, such as leisure and hospitality. And this could spell trouble on the horizon in some sectors, as employers fight to control expenses. Real GDP grew at an annualized rate of 6.5 percent in the second quarter, led by consumption. The rapid rebound from Covid-driven shutdowns sustained the rapid economic growth of the second quarter as stimulus continued and vaccination rates increased. Join us for a deep dive If you would like to get the full analysis of the data behind the latest Main Street Report, watch our Quarterly Business Credit Review webinar. Just scan the code or go to the short link and remember to download your copy of the latest report. Download Q2 Report
Experian and Moody's Analytics have just released the Q1 2021 Main Street Report. The report brings deep insight into the overall financial well-being of the small-business landscape and offers commentary on business credit trends and what they mean for lenders and small businesses. Small business credit performance hedged down slightly in Q1. But, pent-up savings, massive fiscal support, and the winding down of the Covid-19 pandemic will be driving forces for the economy and small businesses going forward in a post-pandemic recovery. Small businesses with fewer than 40 employees added 277,000 jobs in the first quarter, and by the end of 2021 the economy is slated to add nearly 5 million jobs as businesses reopen. After a PPP-induced decline in delinquency, the 31-90 days past due rate ticked up to 1.28 percent in the first quarter, from 1.21 percent in the fourth quarter, down from 1.61 percent one year ago. Despite a narrative that inflation is rapidly developing, small business owners seem unconcerned. The most recent NFIB survey of most important problems places inflation worries in single-digit territory. If you would like to get the full analysis of the data behind the latest Main Street Report, watch our Quarterly Business Credit Review webinar. Just scan the code or go to the short link and remember to download your copy of the latest report.
