Using business and consumer quantitative and qualitative research from the UK, US, Brazil, EMEA, and APAC between 2023 and 2024, we assess the current global impact of fraud. Download now As 2024 draws to a close, businesses face an increasingly hostile environment in the battle against fraud. Driven by rapid technological advancement and evolving regulatory landscapes, organisations seek new ways to prevent and detect highly sophisticated attacks. Experian’s 2024 Global Fraud Report offers a deep dive into the current state of fraud, revealing critical insights and strategies businesses must adopt to stay ahead of fraudsters. Read the report to discover: Why security and customer experience are still in conflict In today’s digital age, businesses face the daunting task of balancing robust fraud prevention with a seamless customer experience. The report highlights that while stringent security measures are essential, unnecessary friction can drive customers away. A multi-layered approach to fraud prevention, integrating advanced technologies with customer-friendly practices, is crucial. The power of data sharing Data sharing has emerged as a powerful tool in the fight against fraud. By collaborating and sharing data across industries, businesses can gain a comprehensive view of fraud patterns and enhance their detection capabilities. Regulatory frameworks in regions like Brazil and the UK increasingly support data-sharing initiatives, which are vital for effective fraud prevention. What the rise in Authorised Push Payment Fraud means for businesses APP fraud has seen a significant rise in some parts of the world due to newly accessible GenAI tools enabling fraudsters to create more convincing scams at scale. Financial institutions are under pressure to implement measures to protect consumers and comply with new regulations that mandate reimbursement for APP fraud victims. How to uncover synthetic identities Synthetic identity fraud is a growing concern. The report reveals that advancements in GenAI have enabled the creation of highly realistic fake identities, making detection more challenging. Businesses need to invest in advanced analytics and alternative data sources to uncover synthetic identities effectively. Why AI and machine learning are critical to fraud prevention AI and machine learning are pivotal in modern fraud prevention strategies. The report underscores the necessity of these technologies in detecting and preventing fraud. AI and machine learning can analyse vast amounts of data to identify patterns and anomalies that may indicate fraudulent activity. Download the report to discover the 5 key takeaways to combat evolving fraud The 2024 Global Fraud Report reinforces the need for businesses to leverage advanced analytics, alternative data insights, data sharing, and a multi-layered approach to combat evolving fraud threats globally. Download report now About the research The 2024 Global Identity and Fraud Report uses the latest research from the United States, the United Kingdom, Brazil, EMEA, and APAC between 2023 and 2024 to examine fraud worldwide. The research provides combined insights globally from over 1,000 businesses and fraud leaders, as well as 4,000 consumers, focusing on fraud management and digital experience. See the report appendix for full details of the research.
Experian has been named a leader in Liminal’s Link Index for Account Takeover Prevention in Banking. Download Report Advances in technology have increased the scale and sophistication of fraud attacks for businesses around the globe with a significant increase in recent years in account takeover fraud (ATO). During the pandemic there was a rise in account opening attacks as the world moved in lockstep to digital channels, creating huge growth in online digital accounts. Now fraudsters are attempting to takeover those digital accounts and are leveraging AI tools to convince consumers to give away their login credentials, creating an enormous financial risk and loss for banks and other service providers. In a March 2024 survey of bank buyers across North America, Europe, Latin America, Asia Pacific, and the Middle East, Liminal found that ATO attacks now average $6,232 per incident, while fraud teams have reported a 66.8% increase in social engineering attacks in the past two years. However, Liminal also found that despite the growing exposure, only 44% of banks are leveraging mobile device signals. The opportunity for banks to implement more effective tools is the result of a combination of factors: 96% are worried about balancing ATO prevention with privacy laws. 82% say customization was necessary to comply with regional regulations. 96% have concerns about limitations on device signals stemming from data restrictions with consumer technologies. As a result, banks are faced with a three-pronged problem: simultaneously solving for authentication, identity and fraud prevention. Identity across the customer lifecycle Truly understanding a customer, especially in a digital-first environment where hundreds of billions of events occur each year, requires much more than ensuring a name matches a social security number and a physical address. The customer, their account information, the device they use, the network they are coming from, the geolocation of their device, and the behavior they exhibit are intertwined. Banks must now assess more information than ever before to try to distinguish between a legitimate customer and fraudsters. This challenge only gets harder when businesses require more complex passwords, which users promptly forget. Fraudsters, ever creative, exploit the password reset processes to impersonate the customer and convince businesses to give them the new reset password. In ATO attacks, often the only data presented to a business by the user at the time of login is a username and password. However, there are hundreds of other variables that may be passed back and forth between the device and the business in that digital moment, which can be useful for identifying potential threats or legitimate users. This exercise can be a monumental task that involves capturing vast data sets, knowing the difference between critical data and data that increases workload, analyzing that data and then marrying that back to what you know about the customer, all in a few milliseconds. And this is where one of the biggest hurdles exists. These vast data sets sit across a complex set of systems and technologies that have been implemented (but not fully integrated) over time. And consider within this context, the authentication team managing ATO that would otherwise benefit from a cohesive set of data isn’t usually aligned with the general fraud teams and is even further separated from the credit risk or compliance teams. These gaps in technologies and teams hinder ATO prevention and provide zero support for any interdependencies with other critical functions – and fraudsters are more than happy to exploit this weakness. On the other hand, managing a more complete view of the customer (which allows the business to streamline operational costs, data costs, and infrastructure costs) to prevent more ATO attacks and provide a more seamless experiences for the consumer has never been more possible. A fundamental shift in mindset is required to prevent fraudsters from exploiting gaps between business functions. Legitimate customers do not care about these internal divisions; they only see the inconsistency when one part of the business has no knowledge of them compared to another. This disconnect not only frustrates customers but also undermines trust and security. To effectively combat ATO attacks, financial institutions must leverage comprehensive data insights that cover various touchpoints. Integrating identity verification, device intelligence, and behavioral analytics is essential for distinguishing legitimate users from fraudsters. Breaking down traditional silos and enabling seamless data sharing ensures a holistic approach to fraud prevention, delivering a secure and frictionless customer experience. Liminal, a leading market intelligence firm specialising in digital identity, cybersecurity, and fintech markets, recently named Experian as a leader in its Link Index for ATO Prevention in Banking. Leading in ATO prevention The report highlights vendors that lead in authentication, fraud and identity and based on two primary criteria: product execution and strategic positioning. As a top-ranked vendor overall and in product execution, Experian’s performance underscores the effective integration of identity management in our solutions, positioning us as a leader in shaping strategies for account takeover prevention over the next five years. Download Liminal’s Link Index for ATO Prevention in Banking “When it comes to ATO prevention, banks are prioritizing highly accurate solutions that minimize fraud losses and limit financial loss, while reducing customer abandonment through a seamless user experience. Overall satisfaction is most strongly correlated with scalability. As a leader in this evaluation, Experian not only delivers these capabilities to banks, it also demonstrates an unparalleled ability to meet the market’s growing demand, which is projected to reach $1.5 billion by 2028.” Will Charnley, Chief Operating Officer, Liminal The report details the trends that are fundamentally reshaping the ATO threat landscape and today’s specific challenges, as well as those on the horizon, that banks must overcome, while also meeting an increasing expectation of customer satisfaction. Key statistics detail a prescriptive assessment of the market landscape and total addressable market, as well as findings from a March 2024 survey of banks conducted by Liminal, which includes: Specific key purchasing criteria (KPC). The scale and average cost (by volume and per incident) of ATO attacks. A descriptive methodology for calculating fraud loss opportunity costs. A priority-tiered description of ATO solution capabilities. As banks continue to operate in a competitive digital environment that favours excellent customer experience in parallel with fraud prevention, it is crucial to recognize that the front-end experience mirrors back-end operations; therefore, creating seamless integration on both sides is critical. Download Report CrossCoreR provides a fully-featured toolkit that leverages a wide range of capabilities for highly accurate and scalable ATO prevention.
We explore four fraud trends likely to be influenced the most by GEN AI technology in 2024, and what businesses can do to prevent them. 2023: The rise of Generative AI 2023 was marked by the rise of Generative Artificial Intelligence (GEN AI), with the technology’s impact (and potential impact) reverberating across businesses around the world. 2023 also witnessed the democratisation of GEN AI, with its usage made publicly available through multiple apps and tools such as Open AI's Chat GPT and DALL·E, Google's Bard, Midjourney, and many others. Chat GPT even held the world record for the fastest growing application in history (until it was surpassed by Threads) after reaching 100 million users in January 2023, just less than 2 months after its launch. The profound impact of GEN AI on everyday life is also reflected in the 2023 Word of the Year (WOTY) lists published by some of the biggest dictionaries in the world. Merriam-Webster’s WOTY for 2023 was 'authentic'— a term that people are thinking about, writing about, aspiring to, and judging more than ever. It's also not a surprise that one of the other words outlined by the dictionary was 'deepfake', referencing the importance of GEN AI-inspired technology over the past 12 months. Among other dictionaries that publish WOTY lists, both Cambridge Dictionary and Dictionary.com chose 'hallucinate' - with new definitions of the verb describing false information produced by AI tools being presented as truth or fact. A finalist in the Oxford list was the word 'prompt', referencing the instructions that are given to AI algorithms to influence the content it generates. Finally, Collins English Dictionary announced 'AI' as their WOTY to illustrate the significance of the technology throughout 2023. GEN AI has many potential positive applications from streamlining business processes, providing creative support for various industries such as architecture, design, or entertainment, to significantly impacting healthcare or education. However, as signalled out by some of the WOTY lists, it also poses many risks. One of the biggest threats is its adoption by criminals to generate synthetic content that has the potential to deceive businesses and individuals. Unfortunately, easy-to-use, and widely available GEN AI tools have also created a low entrance point for those willing to commit illegal activities. Threat actors leverage GEN AI to produce convincing deepfakes that include audio, images, and videos that are increasingly sophisticated and practically impossible to differentiate from genuine content without the help of technology. They are also exploiting the power of Large Language Models (LLMs) by creating eloquent chatbots and elaborate phishing emails to help them steal important information or establish initial communication with their targets. GEN AI fraud trends to watch out for in 2024 As the lines between authentic and synthetic blur more than ever before, here are four fraud trends likely to be influenced most by GEN AI technology in 2024. A staggering rise in bogus accounts: (impacted by: deepfakes, synthetic PII)Account opening channels will continue to be impacted heavily by the adoption of GEN AI. As criminals try to establish presence in social media and across business channels (e.g., LinkedIn) in an effort to build trust and credibility to carry out further fraudulent attempts, this threat will expand way beyond the financial services industry. GEN AI technology continues to evolve, and with the imminent emergence of highly convincing real-time audio and video deepfakes, it will give fraudsters even better tools to attempt to bypass document verification systems, biometric and liveness checks. Additionally, they could scale their registration attempts by generating synthetic PII data such as names, addresses, emails, or national identification numbers. Persistent account takeover attempts carried out through a variety of channels: (impacted by: deepfakes, GEN AI generated phishing emails)The advancements in deepfakes present a big challenge to institutions with inferior authentication defenses. Just like with the account opening channel, fraudsters will take advantage of new developments in deepfake technology to try to spoof authentication systems with voice, images, or video deepfakes, depending on the required input form to gain access to an account. Furthermore, criminals could also try to fool customer support teams to help them regain access they claim to have lost. Finally, it's likely that the biggest threat would be impersonation attempts (e.g., criminals pretending to be representatives of financial institutions or law enforcement) carried out against individuals to try to steal access details directly from them. This could also involve the use of sophisticated GEN AI generated emails that look like they are coming from authentic sources. An influx of increasingly sophisticated Authorised Push Payment fraud attempts: (impacted by: deepfakes, GEN AI chatbots, GEN AI generated phishing emails)Committing social engineering scams has never been easier. Recent advancements in GEN AI have given threat actors a handful of new ways to deceive their victims. They can now leverage deepfake voices, images, and videos to be used in crimes such as romance scams, impersonation scams, investment scams, CEO fraud, or pig butchering scams. Unfortunately, deepfake technology can be applied to multiple situations where a form of genuine human interaction might be needed to support the authenticity of the criminals' claims. Fraudsters can also bolster their cons with GEN AI enabled chatbots to engage potential victims and gain their trust. If that isn’t enough, phishing messages have been elevated to new heights with the help of LLM tools that have helped with translations, grammar, and punctuation, making these emails look more elaborate and trustworthy than ever before. A whole new world of GEN AI Synthetic Identity: (impacted by: deepfakes, synthetic PII)This is perhaps the biggest fraud threat that could impact financial institutions for years to come. GEN AI has made the creation of synthetic identities easier and more convincing than ever before. GEN AI tools give fraudsters the ability to generate fake PII data at scale with just a few prompts. Furthermore, criminals can leverage fabricated deepfake images of people that never existed to create synthetic identities from entirely bogus content. Unfortunately, since synthetic identities take time to be discovered and are often wrongly classified as defaults, the effect of GEN AI on this type of fraud will be felt for a long time. How to prevent GEN AI related fraud As GEN AI technology continues to evolve in 2024, its adoption by fraud perpetrators to carry out illegal activities will too. Institutions should be aware of the dangers they possess and equip themselves with the right tools and processes to tackle these risks. Here are a few suggestions on how this can be achieved: Fight GEN AI with GEN AI: One of the biggest advantages of GEN AI is that while it is being trained to create synthetic data, it can also be trained to spot it successfully. One such approach is supported by Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) that employ two neural networks competing against each other — a generator and a discriminator. The generator creates synthetic data, while the discriminator evaluates the generated data and tries to distinguish between real and fake samples. Over time, both networks fine tune themselves, and the discriminator becomes increasingly successful in recognising synthetic content. Other algorithms used to create deepfakes, such as Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), and Autoencoders, can also be trained to spot anomalies in audio, images, and video, such as inconsistencies in facial movements or features, inconsistencies in lighting or background, unnatural movements or flickering, and audio discrepancies. Finally, a hybrid approach that combines multiple algorithms often presents more robust results. Advanced analytics to monitor the whole customer journey and beyond: Institutions should deploy a fraud solution that leverages data from a variety of tools that can spot irregular activity across the whole customer journey. That could be a risky activity, such as a spike in suspicious registrations or authentication attempts, unusual consumer behaviour, irregular login locations, suspicious device or browser data, or abnormal transaction activity. A best-in-class solution would give institutions the ability to monitor and analyse trends that go beyond a single transaction or account. Ideally, that means monitoring for fraud signals happening both within a financial institution’s environment and across the industry. This should allow businesses to discover signals pointing out fraudulent activity previously not seen within their systems or data points that would otherwise be considered safe, thus allowing them to develop new fraud prevention models and more comprehensive strategies. Fraud data sharing: Sharing of fraud data across multiple organisations can help identify and spot new fraud trends from occurring within an instruction's premises and stop risky transactions early. Educate consumers: While institutions can deploy multiple tools to monitor GEN AI related fraud, regular consumers don't have the same advantage and are particularly susceptible to impersonation attempts, among other deepfake or GEN AI related cons. While they can't be equipped with the right tools to recognize synthetic content, educating consumers on how to react in certain situations related to giving out valuable personal or financial information is an important step in helping them to remain con free. Learn more with our latest fraud reports from across the globe: UK Fraud Report 2023 US Fraud Report 2023 EMEA + APAC Fraud Report 2023
In today's fast-paced digital landscape, businesses are inundated with an unprecedented amount of data and information. Making informed decisions with the data quickly and effectively has become a crucial factor for success. Enter digital decisioning—a transformative approach that harnesses the power of data, analytics, and automation to drive reliable and expedited decision-making. This article delves into the world of digital decisioning, exploring its significance, components, and benefits. The Essence of Digital Decisioning At its core, digital decisioning is the process of leveraging software solutions that use digital decisioning platforms or custom-built engines to author decision logic; use decision intelligence technologies such as machine learning and AI; use digital decisions in vertical and horizontal use cases; and manage the full decision logic lifecycle, including feedback loops, to continuously improve decision logic. It enables organizations to make well-informed choices by automating and optimizing complex decision processes. By amalgamating data from various sources in real-time, including credit data, user behavior, market trends, historical data, and external factors, digital decisioning ensures that timely decisions are not only data-driven but also contextually relevant. Components of Digital Decisioning Continuous Data Feed: This is the lifeblood of digital decisions. Organizations normalize data from disparate sources to form comprehensive and accurate datasets. Customer data might include income, credit history, transactional data, bill payment, or digital footprint data; however, regardless of the sources, it’s critical that data is coalesced into a single, virtualized view. Advanced Analytics and Machine Learning: Analytics and machine learning algorithms are deployed to extract meaningful insights from the collected data. These insights are used to model decision scenarios, predict outcomes, and uncover hidden patterns. Decision Models: Decision models are created based on the insights derived from data analysis. These models define the rules and logic for making decisions, incorporating factors such as risk tolerance, business goals, and regulatory compliance. Direct Feedback Loop: Every decision has an outcome. For example, an automated loan offer is either accepted or declined by the customer. These outcomes — good and bad — automatically feed into the decisioning model, which enables the machine learning technology to “learn” which decisions are optimal, given the circumstances and customer profile. This enables the model to adapt and grow more accurately and precisely over time. Automation: Automation engines execute the decision models in real time, allowing for rapid and consistent decision-making without human intervention. This enhances efficiency and minimizes the risk of errors. According to a 2022 Gartner poll, the CIO Agenda, more than 80% of companies plan to keep or grow their investment in automation solutions. Benefits of Digital Decisioning Enhanced Accuracy: Digital decisioning eliminates human biases and inconsistencies, resulting in more accurate and objective decisions. Improved Efficiency: Automation reduces decision-making time from hours or days to milliseconds, enabling organizations to respond swiftly to market changes and customer demands. Hyper Personalization: By considering individual preferences, behaviors, and history, digital decisioning facilitates the creation of tailored experiences for customers, leading to higher satisfaction and engagement. Scalability: The automated nature of digital decisioning ensures that it can handle a high volume of decisions seamlessly, making it ideal for businesses experiencing rapid growth. Regulatory Compliance: Explainable decision models can be designed to incorporate regulatory guidelines and compliance requirements, reducing the risk of legal complications. Use Case: Respond faster to credit card applications and personalize cross-sell offers Customers apply online for a credit card from a bank. As they’re being pre-qualified, digital decisioning will instantly analyze the customers’ accounts with the bank including disclosed and undisclosed cash flow. A digital decisioning software solution enables the bank to assess risk exposure and anticipate the customer’s immediate need(s), thereby automating the application assessment and approval steps to reduce approval times from weeks to minutes. Based on the bank’s comprehensive understanding of that customer at that moment, it triggers a personalized cross-sell offer for another relevant financial product, automatically boosting incremental revenue. Conclusion Digital decisioning marks a pivotal advancement in how choices are made in business. By harnessing the power of data, analytics, and automation, organizations can make faster, more accurate decisions that are aligned with their goals and market realities. As this technology continues to evolve, it will reshape industries and empower individuals to navigate the complex digital landscape with confidence. Experian’s decisioning management platform allows clients to operationalize the power of rich data, advanced analytics, and automated decisioning software to support the customer lifecycle. Its key differentiators include credit risk, fraud risk, and strategy expertise, fast deployment of strategies into test and production, empowerment of business users, and proactive monitoring of strategy performance by users. Its key use cases include reducing acquisition costs, credit risk, and fraud risk, and improving acceptance rate and the customer journey. Experian has been named a Technology Leader in the August 2023 SPARK Matrix on Digital Decisioning Platforms report published by Quadrant Knowledge Solutions. The report highlights the growth of decisioning platforms and the changing market trends that are driving adoption, including the role machine learning and AI are playing in the technology market. This placement is proof that Experian offers best-in-class capabilities through market-leading data, orchestration and automation, advanced analytical models, decision performance, and reporting. Our cloud-based infrastructure enables a scalable and modular platform that allows our solutions to be suitable for customers of all sizes. Read the report Experian’s Decisioning Management Platform: Accelerating analytics, decisioning, and fraud detection automation Continuous improvement loop: Advanced machine learning models improve decisioning quality
As economic uncertainty continues to loom, the threat of fraud continues to grow and is becoming more sophisticated. It’s only going to get worse. Due to intensifying inflationary pressures, prices and costs have been increasing which has led to financial hardship impacting individuals and businesses. This provides an opportunity and motive for bad actors to figure out new ways to commit fraud. Federal Trade Commission data shows that consumers reported losing nearly $8.8 billion to fraud in 2022, an increase of more than 30 percent over the previous year. PwC’s Global Economic Crime and Fraud Survey 2022 shows 51% of surveyed organisations say they experienced fraud in the past two years, the highest level in their 20 years of research. Additional investments in fraud prevention technology are a priority for businesses to combat these evolving threats, according to Experian's Sept. 2022 Global Insights report, which states that 94% of businesses report it as the top priority. Since fraud is becoming more sophisticated, part of the challenge that businesses face is to constantly evaluate multiple solutions so that they can continuously improve their fraud detection and prevention capabilities. Investments that can deliver the highest ROI are the solutions that are integrated and orchestrated in a comprehensive fraud reduction intelligence platform. This gives businesses the flexibility to manage evolving strategies and mitigate threats with real-time decisioning. Experian’s CrossCore is an integrated digital identity and fraud risk platform. It offers global solutions to help protect businesses from fraud and maintain compliance with regulatory requirements, using real-time risk analytics and decision-making strategies. The platform aggregates various fraud and identity verification sources to consolidate risk and trust decisions for Experian clients throughout the consumer journey. Experian’s CrossCore has been recognized as an Overall Leader, Innovation Leader, Product Leader, and Market Leader in KuppingerCole’s Fraud Reduction Intelligence Platform Leadership Compass 2023. This recognition highlights Experian's comprehensive approach to combating fraud. It validates that CrossCore offers best-in-class capabilities by augmenting Experian’s industry-leading identity and fraud offerings with a highly curated ecosystem of partners which enables further optionality for our clients based on their specific needs. Read the report CrossCore's Capabilities