Detect and Prevent: The current state of e-commerce fraud

by Traci Krepper 2 min read April 14, 2017

e-commerce fraud post

Knowing where e-commerce fraud takes place matters

We recently hosted a Webinar with Mike Gross, Risk Strategy Director at Experian and  Julie Conroy, Research Director  at Aite Research Group, looking at the current state of card-not-present fraud, and what to prepare for in the coming year. Our biannual analysis of fraud attacks, served as a backdrop for the trends we’ve been seeing. I wanted to share some observations from the Webinar. Of course, if you prefer to hear it firsthand, you can download the archive recording here.

I’ll start with the current landscape of card-not-present fraud. Julie shared 5 key trends her firm has identified regarding e-commerce fraud:

  • Rising account take-over fraud
  • Loyalty points targeted
  • Increasingly global transactions
  • Frustrating false declines
  • Increasingly mobile consumers

One particularly interesting note that Julie made was regarding consumer frustration levels towards forgotten passwords. While consumers are more frustrated when they’re locked out of access to their banking accounts (makes sense, it’s their money), forgotten passwords are more detrimental to e-commerce retailers since consumers are likely to go to another site. This equates to a frustrated consumer, and lost revenue for the business.

e-commerce fraud frustrated password

Next, Mike went through the findings from our 2016 e-commerce fraud attack analysis. Fraud attack rates show the attempted fraudulent e-commerce transactions against the population of overall e-commerce orders.

Overall, e-commerce attack rates spiked 33% in 2016. The biggest trends we saw included:

  • Increased EMV adoption is driving a shift from counterfeit to card-not-present fraud
  • 2B breached records disclosed in 2016, more than 3x any previous year
  • Consumers reporting credit card fraud jumped from 15% in 2015 to over 32% in 2016
  • Attackers shifting locations slightly and international orders rely on freight forwarders
  • 10 states saw an increase of over 100% in fraudulent orders
  • Over 70 of the top 100 riskiest postal codes were not in last year’s list

So, what will 2017 bring?

Be prepared for more attacks, more global rings, more losses for businesses, and the emergence of IoT fraud.

Businesses need to anticipate an increase of fraud over time and to be prepared. The value of employing a multi-layered approach to fraud prevention especially when it comes to authenticating consumers to validate transactions cannot be understated. By looking at all the points of the customer journey, businesses can better protect themselves from fraud, while maintaining a good consumer experience. Most importantly, having the right fraud solution in place can help businesses prevent losses both in dollars and reputation.

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When a credit view and a fraud view are generated separately, they must be reconciled instead of read together in the same instant. Every handoff is a place where a decision slows down and a signal gets missed. It's why a fraud pattern that would be obvious next to the credit file often surfaces only after the funds are already gone. Fragmentation also makes it harder to optimize lending strategies over time. When data, analytics and decisioning are disconnected, credit unions have less visibility into what's working, what's changing and where strategies need to be adjusted. An integrated decisioning ecosystem closes those seams by design, with credit, fraud and lending strategy running on one platform and accessed through a single Application Programming Interface (API). Identity and compliance capabilities can be an integrated decisioning flow. The data doesn't need to be reconciled after the fact because it was never separated in the first place. 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Research surveying more than 2,000 senior credit risk and fraud decision-makers across 11 countries found that organizations investing in unified platforms and modern infrastructure are moving faster and realizing the greatest Return on Investment (ROI).   As their needs evolve, credit unions can adjust decisioning strategies without introducing another layer of technology or relying on third parties to make every change. Until self-service is the right fit, choose a partner that understands what makes your credit union’s membership and risk appetite different from others.  Same member, same afternoon, faster answer Consider a credit union growing its auto and personal loan originations.  A member applies for an auto loan on Saturday afternoon. Credit data, identity and fraud signals are read together in a single real-time pass instead of separate reviews:  Most applications resolve immediately, approved or declined based on a more comprehensive view of the applicant. A smaller number are flagged for quick step-up verification and cleared within minutes. Only genuinely ambiguous cases reach an underwriter, who is working from one complete picture instead of reconciling multiple signals. The member has an answer before the weekend is over. The credit union books the loan before competitors even open on Monday. Built to scale This kind of process holds up today. However, the better test is whether it holds up eighteen months from now when application volume has grown, new products are live and the data flowing through the system looks nothing like it does right now. Future-proofing isn't only about handling more volume. It's about having room to be nimbler and make adjustments as quickly as the market changes. A credit union that relies on standard models within a decisioning strategy may want more customized analytics and greater control over its strategies tomorrow. 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