EVs Drive Growth Nationwide, Expanding Adoption Across Key States

While many industry pundits are assessing how macroeconomic changes may impact the future of the automotive market, recent data suggests consumers tend to stick to specific fuel types. According to Experian’s Automotive Market Trends Report: Q4 2024, over the last 12 months, 77.5% of electric vehicle (EV) owners replaced their EV with another one, with 15.6% returning to gas-powered vehicles. Meanwhile, 82.2% of gas vehicle owners replaced it with the same fuel type, while only 4.7% made the switch to electric. It’s important for professionals to recognize that most consumers tend to replace their vehicles with the same fuel type. Additionally, knowing who is making these purchases and the types of vehicles being registered allows better anticipation for consumer needs and ultimately enhances the buying experience while fostering consumer loyalty. Breaking down fuel types by generation Through Q4 2024, Baby Boomers predominantly registered new gasoline vehicles, accounting for 74.7% of their choices, while 15.9% opted for hybrids and 6.6% chose EVs. Millennials showed a similar trend, with 69.2% registering gas vehicles, followed by 15.1% selecting hybrids and 12.5% choosing EVs. Gen Z also favored gasoline vehicles at 74.0%, with hybrids making up 14.3% and EVs at 9.1% of their registrations. Although gasoline vehicles account for the majority of new registrations, EVs and hybrids are steadily gaining ground, particularly among the younger generations who are drawn to advanced features that align with their preferences. This will likely play a role in shaping the future of vehicle registrations as more gas alternative models hit the market and consumers make the switch. To learn more about vehicle market trends, view the full Automotive Market Trends Report: Q4 2024 presentation on demand.

Quick Summary: Leasing continues to increase in the electric vehicle (EV) market. EVs accounted for nearly 20% of all new vehicle leases in Q4 2024, up from only 2.11% of new vehicle leases four years ago in Q4 2020. With consumers looking for flexibility—both in monthly payment and model availability—we’re seeing leasing continue to surge in the electric vehicle (EV) market. According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q4 2024, EVs accounted for 19.5% of all new vehicle leases this quarter, up from 11.7% last year and a substantial increase from 2.1% in Q4 2020. Diving a bit deeper, data found EVs accounted for 9.3% of all new purchases in Q4 2024. Of those EVs, 50.1% were leased, while 38.9% were financed through loans. With lease payments for EVs ultimately being more affordable compared to loans and the excitement of driving the latest models packed with advanced technology, it’s no surprise we’re seeing leasing grow in popularity. Top leased EVs: How do lease and loan payments compare? As more consumers transition to EVs and manufacturers introduce new options to their lineup, certain models have become top choices for those opting to lease. Tesla accounted for the top two leased EVs in Q4 2024, with Tesla Model 3 coming in at 12.2% and Tesla Model Y at 9.1%. However, the Honda Prologue followed closely at 8.8% this quarter. Rounding out the top five were Hyundai IONIQ 5 (6.9%) and Chevrolet Equinox EV (5.9%). It’s notable that leasing has traditionally been a value-driven option for consumers, and the same holds true in the EV market. Leasing continues to offer lower monthly payments, making the finance option stand out for those looking to test an EV before purchasing or simply wanting the latest model on the lot. In Q4 2024, the average payment difference between a loan and a lease was $175. Though, the average monthly payment to lease a non-luxury EV was $504 this quarter, noting a $205 difference compared to the $709 loan payment. By comparison, the average monthly payment between a loan and leased luxury EV was $98—coming in at $842 for a lease and $940 for a loan. As more consumers choose to lease EVs, automotive professionals in both new and used markets have a chance to capitalize on this trend. By leveraging this data, those in the new retail market can effectively reach the right audience, while those in the used market can stay ahead of the curve and prepare for the influx of off-lease models in the coming years. To learn more about automotive finance trends, view the full State of the Automotive Finance Market: Q4 2024 presentation on demand.

With the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show set to kickoff later this week, it seemed fitting to explore how the shifting dynamics of the used vehicle market might impact dealers and buyers over the coming year. Shedding light on some of the registration and finance trends, as well as purchasing behaviors, can help dealers and manufacturers stay ahead of the curve. And just like that, the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report was born. As I was sifting through the data, one of the trends that stood out to me was the neck-and-neck race between Millennials and Gen X for supremacy in the used vehicle market. Five years ago, in 2019, Millennials were responsible for 33.3% of used retail registrations, followed by Gen X (29.5%) and Baby Boomers (26.8%). Since then, Baby Boomers have gradually fallen off, and Gen X continues to close the already minuscule gap. Through October 2024, Millennials accounted for 31.6%, while Gen X accounted for 30.4%. But trends can turn on a dime if the last year offers any indication. Over the last rolling 12 months (October 2023-October 2024), Gen X (31.4%) accounted for the majority of used vehicle registrations compared to Millennials (30.9%). Of course, the data is still close, and what 2025 holds is anyone’s guess, but understanding even the smallest changes in market share and consumer purchasing behaviors can help dealers and manufacturers adapt and navigate the road ahead. Although there are similarities between Millennials and Gen X, there are drastic differences, including motivations and preferences. Dealers and manufacturers should engage them on a generational level. What are they buying? Some of the data might not come as a surprise but it’s a good reminder that consumers are in different phases of life, meaning priorities change. Over the last rolling 12 months, Millennials over-indexed on used vans, accounting for more than one-third of registrations. Meanwhile, Gen X over-indexed on used trucks, making up nearly one-third of registrations, and Gen Z over-indexed on cars (accounting for 17.1% of used car registrations compared to 14.6% of overall used vehicle registrations). This isn’t surprising. Many Millennials have young families and may need extra space and functionality, while Gen Xers might prefer the versatility of the pickup truck—the ability to use it for work and personal use. On the other hand, Gen Zers are still early in their careers and gravitate towards the affordability and efficiency of smaller cars. Interestingly, although used electric vehicles only make up a small portion of used retail registrations (less than 1%), Millennials made up nearly 40% over the last rolling 12 months, followed by Gen X (32.2%) and Baby Boomers (15.8%). The market at a bird’s eye view Pulling back a bit on the used vehicle landscape, over the last rolling 12 months, CUVs/SUVs (38.9%) and cars (36.6%) accounted for the majority of used retail registrations. And nearly nine-in-ten used registrations were non-luxury vehicles. What’s more, ICE vehicles made up 88.5% of used retail registrations over the same period, while alternative-fuel vehicles (not including BEVs) made up 10.7% and electric vehicles made up 0.8%. At the finance level, we’re seeing the market shift ever so slightly. Since the beginning of the pandemic, one of the constant narratives in the industry has been the rising cost of owning a vehicle, both new and used. And while the average loan amount for a used non-luxury vehicle has gone up over the past five years, we’re seeing a gradual decline since 2022. In 2019, the average loan amount was $22,636 and spiked $29,983 in 2022. In 2024, the average loan amount reached $28,895. Much of the decline in average loan amounts can be attributed to the resurgence of new vehicle inventory, which has resulted in lower used values. With new leasing climbing over the past several quarters, we may see more late-model used inventory hit the market in the next few years, which will most certainly impact used financing. The used market moving forward Relying on historical data and trends can help dealers and manufacturers prepare and navigate the road ahead. Used vehicles will always fit the need for shoppers looking for their next vehicle; understanding some market trends will help ensure dealers and manufacturers can be at the forefront of helping those shoppers. For more information on the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report, visit Experian booth #627 at the NADA Show in New Orleans, January 23-26.