Loading...

Does your risk model stand up against the test of time?

Published: March 6, 2014 by Guest Contributor

Using a risk model based on older data can result in reduced predictive power. As consumer credit behaviors evolve, the predictive contribution of specific factors changes. For example, in recently developed models, payment history is 25 percent more relevant in terms of predictive contribution than in prerecession models. The following chart details the changes in key contributing factors over time.

**Please click image to enlarge

Risk managers can stay ahead of these changes by regularly validating their risk models and by using scoring models developed on the latest consumer data available.

View the webcast: Implementing a new scoring model: Plug & Play

The Score, February 2014

VantageScore® is a registered trademark of VantageScore Solutions, LLC.

Related Posts

The days of managing credit risk, fraud prevention, and compliance in silos are over. As fraud threats evolve, regulatory scrutiny increases, and economic uncertainty persists, businesses need a more unified risk strategy to stay ahead. Our latest e-book, Navigating the intersection of credit, fraud, and compliance, explores why 94% of forward-looking companies expect credit, fraud, and compliance to converge within the next three years — and what that means for your business.1 Key insights include: The line between fraud and credit risk is blurring. Many organizations classify first-party fraud losses as credit losses, distorting the true risk picture. Fear of fraud is costing businesses growth. 68% of organizations say they’re denying too many good customers due to fraud concerns. A unified approach is the future. Integrating risk decisioning across credit, fraud, and compliance leads to stronger fraud detection, smarter credit risk assessments, and improved compliance. Read the full e-book to explore how an integrated risk approach can protect your business and fuel growth. Download e-book 1Research conducted by InsightAvenue on behalf of Experian

Published: February 20, 2025 by Julie Lee

Here are the top fraud trends and actionable resolutions to help risk managers stay ahead of fraud in 2025.

Published: January 8, 2025 by Alex Lvoff

Whether consumers are shopping for new credit or experiencing financial stress, monitoring their behavior is crucial — even more so in an ever-changing economy. Our latest infographic explores economic trends impacting consumers’ financial behaviors and how Experian’s Risk and Retention TriggersSM enable lenders to detect early signs of risk or churn. Key highlights include: Credit card balances climbed to $1.17 trillion in Q3 2024. As prices of goods and services remain elevated, consumers may continue to experience financial stress, potentially leading to higher delinquency rates. Increasing customer retention rates by 5% can boost profits by 25% to 95%. View the infographic to learn how Risk and Retention Triggers can help you advance your portfolio management strategy. Access infographic

Published: January 6, 2025 by Theresa Nguyen