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Leasing Decreased in Q3 2021, But Remains a Critical Option for Affordability

Published: January 11, 2022 by Melinda Zabritski

Young woman standing against glass window at car showroom

There is no doubt the automotive finance market continues to see impacts and shifts resulting from the pandemic. One of the changes we saw was a drop in leasing. While many trends have returned to pre-pandemic levels, leasing has not. In fact, it’s continued to decrease.

According to Experian’s State of Automotive Finance Market: Q3 2021 report, leasing comprised 24.03% of new vehicle financing in Q3 2021, compared to 27.62% in Q3 2020, and 30.51% in Q3 2019.

Some attribute the drop in leasing to consumers extending their current leases or purchasing their vehicles once the lease expires—a cost-effective way to purchase a vehicle, particularly amid rising prices. But while we don’t know the exact reasons driving the decrease in leasing, we do know that it continues to be a vital option for consumers looking for a lower monthly payment on a vehicle.

In Q3 2021, the average monthly lease payment was $506, compared to the average monthly loan payment for a new vehicle, which hit a record high of $617. With the average new vehicle monthly payment more than $100 higher, consumers shopping for a vehicle based on monthly payment may opt for a lease, rather than a loan.

For example, in Q3 2021, the Ford F150 had an average monthly lease payment of $542, while the average monthly loan payment was $768. Consumers also continue to opt for CUVs, such as the Jeep Grand Cherokee, which had an average monthly lease payment of $470, compared to the average loan payment of $608.

Consumers still choosing bigger vehicles

In recent years, consumers have been looking for larger, more expensive vehicles like SUVs, CUVs and full-size pickup trucks, and the pandemic has not altered these preferences at all, which is demonstrated by the top 10 vehicles leased in Q3 2021.

It is important to note that the Honda Civic was the top leased vehicle, accounting for 2.92% of leasing, but also the only sedan among the top ten—the rest being made up by SUVs, CUVs, and full-size pickups.

bar chart showing the top ten leased vehicles in Q3 2021

With consumers opting for larger and more expensive vehicles, leasing will continue to remain an important option for those looking to get a new vehicle with a lower monthly payment. It also has a large impact on the used vehicle market in the future—the leases of today are the used vehicles of tomorrow.

As we continue to see challenges like the inventory shortages, data can help dealers and lenders properly navigate their way through this evolving trend and help consumers choose the vehicle that best fits their budget and needs.

To learn more about leasing and other automotive finance trends, watch the entire State of the Automotive Finance Market: Q3 2021 webinar.

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Quick Summary: Leasing continues to increase in the electric vehicle (EV) market. EVs accounted for nearly 20% of all new vehicle leases in Q4 2024, up from only 2.11% of new vehicle leases four years ago in Q4 2020. With consumers looking for flexibility—both in monthly payment and model availability—we’re seeing leasing continue to surge in the electric vehicle (EV) market. According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q4 2024, EVs accounted for 19.5% of all new vehicle leases this quarter, up from 11.7% last year and a substantial increase from 2.1% in Q4 2020. Diving a bit deeper, data found EVs accounted for 9.3% of all new purchases in Q4 2024. Of those EVs, 50.1% were leased, while 38.9% were financed through loans. With lease payments for EVs ultimately being more affordable compared to loans and the excitement of driving the latest models packed with advanced technology, it’s no surprise we’re seeing leasing grow in popularity. Top leased EVs: How do lease and loan payments compare? As more consumers transition to EVs and manufacturers introduce new options to their lineup, certain models have become top choices for those opting to lease. Tesla accounted for the top two leased EVs in Q4 2024, with Tesla Model 3 coming in at 12.2% and Tesla Model Y at 9.1%. However, the Honda Prologue followed closely at 8.8% this quarter. Rounding out the top five were Hyundai IONIQ 5 (6.9%) and Chevrolet Equinox EV (5.9%). It’s notable that leasing has traditionally been a value-driven option for consumers, and the same holds true in the EV market. Leasing continues to offer lower monthly payments, making the finance option stand out for those looking to test an EV before purchasing or simply wanting the latest model on the lot. In Q4 2024, the average payment difference between a loan and a lease was $175. Though, the average monthly payment to lease a non-luxury EV was $504 this quarter, noting a $205 difference compared to the $709 loan payment. By comparison, the average monthly payment between a loan and leased luxury EV was $98—coming in at $842 for a lease and $940 for a loan. As more consumers choose to lease EVs, automotive professionals in both new and used markets have a chance to capitalize on this trend. By leveraging this data, those in the new retail market can effectively reach the right audience, while those in the used market can stay ahead of the curve and prepare for the influx of off-lease models in the coming years. To learn more about automotive finance trends, view the full State of the Automotive Finance Market: Q4 2024 presentation on demand.

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