New Vehicle Registrations up as Market Begins to Stabilize in Q3

While CUVs and SUVs continue to dominate the market, sedans remain a popular choice among consumers. According to Experian’s Automotive Consumer Trends Report: Q4 2024, sedans accounted for 18.4% of new retail registrations and 36.9% of used. Comparatively, CUVs/SUVs came in at 59.3% for new and 38.6% for used. For retail sedan registrations, the Toyota Camry made up the most market share for both new and used in the last 12 months, coming in at 10.5% and 6.0%, respectively. Meanwhile, the Honda Civic came in a close second for new sedan registrations at 10.1% and the Honda Accord followed closely for used at 5.9%. Knowing which sedan models are leading in registrations is important for professionals as it helps them understand evolving consumer preferences, enhance marketing strategies, and make informed inventory decisions. Understanding the key generations fueling the sedan segment When examining generational interest in this vehicle segment, data found Gen Z and Millennials over-indexed in new retail sedan registrations. In the past 12 months, Gen Z represented 12.4% of new retail sedan registrations, while their total new retail registration was 8.2%. Millennials had 27.3% of sedan registrations out of 27% total registrations. Understanding who is purchasing and what models they’re gravitating towards can unlock valuable insights as professionals craft their next move and position themselves one step ahead in a competitive market. To learn more about sedan insights, view the full Automotive Consumer Trends Report: Q4 2024 presentation.

The electric vehicle (EV) market continues to see remarkable growth as both new and used registrations rise year-over-year. For the first time, new EVs accounted for 9.2% of all retail vehicle registrations across the U.S. in 2024, according to Experian’s 2024 EV Year in Review Report, and used EV registrations climbed to just over 1%, from 0.7% the year prior. As we dove into the data, we found that Tesla remains the dominant player in both new and used sectors; however, the shift in consumer preferences is extending across various manufacturers with more models hitting the market. For instance, Tesla accounted for 50.7% of new retail registrations in 2024, from 60.6% in 2023. Meanwhile, Ford increased from 4.7% to 6.2% year-over-year and Hyundai went from 4.2% to 5.4%. On the used side, Tesla made up 59% of retail registrations, from 60% in 2023, while Chevrolet grew from 7.1% to 9% and Nissan was at 5.4%, from 8.3%. As the EV market continues to grow, it’s not just the various manufacturers making waves; geographical trends are also coming into play in shaping how these vehicles are being embraced nationwide. While EV adoption is expanding well beyond the traditional EV strongholds, California still holds the highest number of registrations, with Los Angeles accounting for more than 180,000 new retail EV registrations, followed by San Francisco at 91,000+ and San Diego with more than 31,000. Hartford and New Haven, Connecticut experienced the highest growth in new retail EV registrations over the last five years, reaching 110.5% in 2024. Close behind were El Paso, Texas (with a 99% increase), and Colorado Springs, Colorado (with an 85.7% spike). These shifts highlight the rapid expansion of EV adoption across the country as we see more consumers in diverse areas opting for the fuel type. Analyzing and leveraging the broader range of registrations will help automotive professionals as they identify emerging markets to effectively tailor their strategies. To learn more about EV insights, visit Experian Automotive’s EV Resource Center.

With the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show set to kickoff later this week, it seemed fitting to explore how the shifting dynamics of the used vehicle market might impact dealers and buyers over the coming year. Shedding light on some of the registration and finance trends, as well as purchasing behaviors, can help dealers and manufacturers stay ahead of the curve. And just like that, the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report was born. As I was sifting through the data, one of the trends that stood out to me was the neck-and-neck race between Millennials and Gen X for supremacy in the used vehicle market. Five years ago, in 2019, Millennials were responsible for 33.3% of used retail registrations, followed by Gen X (29.5%) and Baby Boomers (26.8%). Since then, Baby Boomers have gradually fallen off, and Gen X continues to close the already minuscule gap. Through October 2024, Millennials accounted for 31.6%, while Gen X accounted for 30.4%. But trends can turn on a dime if the last year offers any indication. Over the last rolling 12 months (October 2023-October 2024), Gen X (31.4%) accounted for the majority of used vehicle registrations compared to Millennials (30.9%). Of course, the data is still close, and what 2025 holds is anyone’s guess, but understanding even the smallest changes in market share and consumer purchasing behaviors can help dealers and manufacturers adapt and navigate the road ahead. Although there are similarities between Millennials and Gen X, there are drastic differences, including motivations and preferences. Dealers and manufacturers should engage them on a generational level. What are they buying? Some of the data might not come as a surprise but it’s a good reminder that consumers are in different phases of life, meaning priorities change. Over the last rolling 12 months, Millennials over-indexed on used vans, accounting for more than one-third of registrations. Meanwhile, Gen X over-indexed on used trucks, making up nearly one-third of registrations, and Gen Z over-indexed on cars (accounting for 17.1% of used car registrations compared to 14.6% of overall used vehicle registrations). This isn’t surprising. Many Millennials have young families and may need extra space and functionality, while Gen Xers might prefer the versatility of the pickup truck—the ability to use it for work and personal use. On the other hand, Gen Zers are still early in their careers and gravitate towards the affordability and efficiency of smaller cars. Interestingly, although used electric vehicles only make up a small portion of used retail registrations (less than 1%), Millennials made up nearly 40% over the last rolling 12 months, followed by Gen X (32.2%) and Baby Boomers (15.8%). The market at a bird’s eye view Pulling back a bit on the used vehicle landscape, over the last rolling 12 months, CUVs/SUVs (38.9%) and cars (36.6%) accounted for the majority of used retail registrations. And nearly nine-in-ten used registrations were non-luxury vehicles. What’s more, ICE vehicles made up 88.5% of used retail registrations over the same period, while alternative-fuel vehicles (not including BEVs) made up 10.7% and electric vehicles made up 0.8%. At the finance level, we’re seeing the market shift ever so slightly. Since the beginning of the pandemic, one of the constant narratives in the industry has been the rising cost of owning a vehicle, both new and used. And while the average loan amount for a used non-luxury vehicle has gone up over the past five years, we’re seeing a gradual decline since 2022. In 2019, the average loan amount was $22,636 and spiked $29,983 in 2022. In 2024, the average loan amount reached $28,895. Much of the decline in average loan amounts can be attributed to the resurgence of new vehicle inventory, which has resulted in lower used values. With new leasing climbing over the past several quarters, we may see more late-model used inventory hit the market in the next few years, which will most certainly impact used financing. The used market moving forward Relying on historical data and trends can help dealers and manufacturers prepare and navigate the road ahead. Used vehicles will always fit the need for shoppers looking for their next vehicle; understanding some market trends will help ensure dealers and manufacturers can be at the forefront of helping those shoppers. For more information on the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report, visit Experian booth #627 at the NADA Show in New Orleans, January 23-26.