We recently issued our Q4 2014 Experian-Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Report that covers consumer economic trends and found that overall bankcard delinquencies (60 days past due (DPD) and greater) came in at a low 1.79% for Q4 2014. It is interesting to note the disparity when analyzing delinquency by annual spend level. Those spending $100,000 or more per year on credit cards had the lowest delinquency rate at 0.43%, while those spending $5,000 or less annually had the highest delinquency rate at 3.58%. Percent of balances 60+ DPD delinquent by annual credit card spend level* $100,000+ 0.43% $50,001—$100,000 0.51% $25,001—$50,000 0.75% $10,001—$25,000 1.23% $5,001—$10,000 1.87% <= $5,000 3.58% Overall 1.79% Card issuers can target the right customers with the right offer and drive increased portfolio profitability by using unique tools that provide insight into consumer preferences, income profiles and spend metrics. Find out more on how to discover key steps to developing a profitable bankcard campaign.
Reputational impact of fraud It’s all over the news. Hackers are compromising personal information and using that to access customer accounts. It’s critical that organizations have technology in place to distinguish valid customers from fraudsters as quickly as possible. The impact of fraud on the customer relationship requires more elaborate and accurate fraud prevention. Customers have a legitimate expectation that the institutions with which they do business will safeguard their identities, accounts and sensitive data. When fraud or a data breach occurs, that trust can be broken. All the work an institution has done to build its brand image can be damaged suddenly. With the right controls in place, even when customer information is compromised organizations can easily tell the difference between good customers and fraudsters. Listen to what Matt Lane, Experian's 41st Parameter vice president of customer management, says about the reputational impact of fraud theft on an organization: Learn more about the reputational impact of fraud thefts on an organization.
By: Scott Rhode This is the third and last of a three-part blog series focused on the residential solar market looking at; 1) the history of solar technology, 2) current trends and financing mechanisms, and finally 3) overcoming market and regulatory challenges with Experian’s help. As we’ve discussed in the two previous blogs, the residential solar industry in the US has experienced tremendous growth and much of that growth is attributed to financing. As the financing offers continue to evolve and mature, there are challenges that the industry faces. The first, and most obvious challenge, is that the Solar Investment Tax Credit is set to expire on December 31st, 2016. (To be clear, the credit is not eliminated on Dec. 31, 2016, it is simply planned to be reduced to 10%) Given the state of affairs in Washington, it is unlikely that the tax credit will get extended. This is unfortunate since this tax credit has been a catalyst for investment in this industry, greatly increasing affordability and adoption from the public. Once this incentive expires, the solar companies will need to acquire capital from more traditional sources (Debt markets, securitization, or other third party financing) to fund their growth since the Tax Equity community may no longer be willing to invest. In addition, the expiration of the credit means that panel manufactures must find ways to reduce the cost of production and that finance and installation companies must lower their customer acquisition cost since they are unsustainable in a post-ITC world. A benefit of moving towards other means of funding is that the sophistication level of pre-screening, scoring, and portfolio management should improve dramatically. Today, the Tax Equity community drives all of the credit strategies and those strategies are actually holding solar companies back because of their simplicity. For example, most of the TE investors require that the customer have a 680 FICO score or better in order to get approval. They do not require a debt to income threshold to be met, nor do they look at other attributes or data points. This overly simplistic approach is meant to keep the TE investor out of difficult conversations of being in the “sub-prime” space; however, it greatly limits growth and it turns away good customers. Additionally, this approach does not consider the “essential use” nature of the product. When a customer becomes seriously delinquent, their panels get disconnected and their costs for energy go up more than the cost of their monthly lease payment. This ensures that, unlike an unsecured loan or credit card, the customer is more likely to pay this obligation since it is actually saving them money. This does not mean that the industry can approve everyone; however, it does mean that, with the right decisioning logic and scorecards, they can go much deeper into the credit pool without taking on huge risks. Another challenge for the industry is the shear rate of growth. There are new players in the market every day and even established firms have a hard time keeping up with the growth. This leaves the individual organization and industry at risk for missing critical compliance steps in their operations. Given that these financial instruments are long term in nature and more consumers are adopting this as a means to get solar, it is only a matter of time before the regulators start to look into the practices and operating processes to ensure that all of the applicable regulations are being followed. The industry, as a whole, needs to ensure that they spend a little money now shoring up their compliance instead of paying a hefty fine later. Finally, what happens at the end of the lease? Many of the large players have taken a conservative approach as to how they price the residual amount at the end of term; however, no one really knows what these assets will be worth in 20 years. While many of the panel manufacturers warrant performance for 25, many panels have a shelf-life of 40 years, so how will consumers and the industry behave? What happens if there is a technological breakthrough in 10 years and those old panels are obsolete? At the moment, the industry’s answer to these questions is to set a very low residual which carries risk. Being too conservative here means that your customer’s payment is higher than it needs to be, pricing yourself out of certain markets where the cost of power is less than 20 cents / kwh. As the lease product continues to mature, more focus and emphasis on residual pricing will need to take place to find the right balance for the Consumer and the finance company. It should be said that while there are risks associated with this industry, all markets and new financing products carry risks. The goal of this particular blog is to highlight some of the larger risks that this industry faces. As these are identified, it is incumbent on the industry and partners of the industry to mitigate these risks so that consumers can continue to realize the power of solar. To close this series, I would be remiss if I didn’t offer up Experian’s Global Consultancy solutions to help address the challenges that the industry faces. Our knowledge of best practices in the financial services industry allows us to help those companies in the solar market grow originations responsibly, meet their regulatory requirements, and manage their long term risks with customers. While we cannot solve the funding issues, we can work with organizations and the tax equity community to educate them on the power of decisioning beyond a simple “one-size fits all” score. In addition, our products and data allow for flexibility and certainty, giving the industry an edge in acquiring new customers in a more efficient and less expensive manner. Finally, we can help provide advice and best practices in decisioning, risk management, and regulatory compliance so that the industry can continue to grow and thrive. All in all, we are advocates for the industry and can bring tremendous expertise and experience to help ensure continued success. Solar Financing – The current and future catalyst behind the booming residential solar market (Part II) Solar Financing — The current and future catalyst behind the booming residential solar market (Part I)
By: Mike Horrocks I was raised in an underbanked home! I have known this for a long time, but it feels great to say it and be proud of it. I was raised in Neola, Utah, a small cattle ranching community of at the time 500 or so people. I don’t recall as a kid ever feeling poor or on the edge financially, in fact it was quite the opposite. When I was a freshman in college I got my own banking accounts and my first major credit card that gave cash back, it all just seemed normal. I recall showing my dad my new found financial life. The concept of getting cash back for purchases was something he wanted in on. He made the call to get his own card and within minutes the representative on the other end of the call asked if I was willing to co-sign for my dad because he did not have a thick enough credit file. At this point of my dad’s life, he had developed and sold a couple of businesses, bought and managed a successful angus cattle ranch - but he had done most of it in cash and so he was “off the grid”. When I co – signed for my dad, it hit me, in terms of the banking system that I was studying at the university, we were an underbanked family! So what are the lessons learned here for a banker today: Underbanked does not equal poor. I never felt poor, the family business was going great, and my dad was always able to meet any obligation or need for the ranch and us kids. Bankers need to know their customers. When my dad did need access to more capital, there was a great banker at Zions Bank that knew my dad and stood by him even though the traditional file was thin. So know your customers by all means (traditional credit, alternative data, etc.) Don’t forget the family. By this I mean the associated products and what they can mean to the overall customer picture and relationship. Know what risks and opportunities are there as you try to optimize the relationship. If you want to read some more, American Banker just published a great set of articles on including consumers and how to retain them - it is worth a quick review. Don’t let great customers like my dad go through your business development net. Attract them, nurture them and build great relationships with them.
By: Barbara Rivera Every day, 2.5 quintillion bytes of data are created – in fact, 90% of the world’s data was created in only the last few years. With the staggering amount of data available, we have an unprecedented opportunity to uncover new insights and improve the way our world functions. The implications of these new capabilities are perhaps nowhere else as crucial as within our government. Public sector officials carry the great responsibility of conducting complex missions that directly affect our communities, our economy, and our nation’s future. The ability to make more informed, insightful choices and better decisions is paramount. Especially at a time of broader global unrest and uncertainty, Americans rely on our government to be transparent, fair, ready and to make the right decisions – our trust is in the hands of our elected officials and public servants. Data alone is not enough to inform and affect change. However, with integrated information assets, insightful analysts and collaborative processes, data can be transformed into something meaningful and actionable. Our government has already begun leveraging data for good across agencies and varied missions, with more potential unlocked each day. Local governments like Orange County, California are utilizing data through address verification services to keep their voting lists accurate – ensuring the integrity of elections and saving the taxpayers thousands of dollars otherwise wasted on mailings to outdated lists. The Orange County Registrar of Voters – the fifth largest voting jurisdiction in the county – has been able to cancel 40,000 voting records, with an estimated savings of $94,000 expected from 2012 through 2016. The examples are numerous and growing: A suite of optimization tools helps states find non-custodial parents, determine their capacity and likelihood to pay child support, and trigger alerts with new critical information, maximizing the likelihood of payment and recovery, ultimately improving the welfare of children and reducing poverty More than 150 state, county and local law enforcement agencies leverage data to help identify persons of interest, conduct background screening for employees and contractors and provide financial backgrounds for criminal investigations, ensuring our continued safety By using the power of data to manage user authentication, credentials and access controls, the government is working harder – and smarter – to protect our security The government is leveraging verified commercial data to help agencies validate the fiscal responsibility of potential contractors and monitor existing contractors, which helps provide transparency and reduce risk By using data and analytics to authenticate applicants and validate financial data, the government is ensuring access to benefits for those who meet eligibility requirements, while at the same time reducing fraud Private sector partners are supporting municipal efforts to improve financial stability in households by providing the current credit standing of consumers and monitoring overall changes in financial behaviors over time, to help counsel and educate citizens And that’s only the beginning. The possibilities are endless – from healthcare to finance to energy – data can be leveraged for the advancement of our society. It even happens behind the scenes, working to protect information in ways most citizens never realize. Data insights are used to ensure citizens have secure online access to their information – ever see those randomized, personal questions? That’s data at work. The same technology is the de facto ID Proofing standard for the VA and CMS. How does it all work? By combing through the data carefully, putting it in context, looking at it in new ways, and thinking about what all this information really means. Much of this is made possible through public-private partnerships between the government and companies like Experian. So the next time someone complains about the slow pace of government, let them know the truth is government is moving quickly, leveraging data and private sector partnerships to uncover new insights that impact the greater good.
A comprehensive customer-experience strategy can give companies the competitive edge needed in a market where price, products and service can no longer be considered effective differentiators. Capturing customer insight is critical to developing a sound customer experience strategy, yet research shows that while 85 percent of companies collect such feedback, only 15 percent take action on it as part of their strategy. Delivering a consistently successful experience across all channels leads to more customers who buy more, stay longer and cost less to serve. Companies can drive value and loyalty by taking aggressive steps to develop an in-depth understanding of their customers and then plan, design and implement a structured, comprehensive customer experience program. The New Customer Experience – An Experian White Paper
According to the latest research by Experian Marketing Services, nearly a third of all Americans use at least one type of smart or Internet-connected device* (wearable fitness tracker, smart watch, smart TV, smart home technology). While smart TVs have generated the most consumer interest, at least 14 percent of homes are smart homes (connected lights, locks, thermostats, window coverings, etc). Further, the smart home device category saw the most growth during the holiday season, with interest increasing 54 percent from November to December 2014. By 2020, the number of Internet-connected devices is expected to grow to 26 billion, creating new revenue streams and opportunities for marketers. Understanding how to reach customers in this newly connected world and creating resonant messages will be critical to future business success. Source: Experian Marketing Services, The Internet of Things: Opportunities through the rise in smart devices *Does not include smartphones, tablets or computers
According to a recent Experian credit-trend analysis, bankcard originations for all of 2014 totaled $318.7 billion, a 20 percent increase over 2013 originations of $266.5 billion. The growth trend demonstrates the importance of staying abreast of the latest credit trends in order to adjust lending strategies and capitalize on areas of opportunity. Discover key steps to developing a profitable bankcard campaign.
The experience of being a victim of data breaches has created a shift in consumer behavior and attitude over the past year. A recent Ponemon Institute study found that more than one-third of consumers ignored data breach notification letters, taking no action to protect themselves against fraud. To combat data breach fatigue, companies should communicate with customers sincerely and avoid treating the notification process as a compliance issue. Notification letters should include an apology, a clear explanation of what happened and why, and steps consumers can take to protect themselves from fraud. 2015 Data Breach Industry Forecast
While marketers typically spend vast amounts of money to increase customer acquisitions, fraud prevention can undercut those efforts. According to a recent 41st Parameter® study, average card-not-present declines represent 15 percent of all transactions; however, one to three percent of those declined transactions turn out to be false positives, equating to 1.2 billion dollars in lost revenue annually. Marketers can avoid unnecessary declines and create a seamless customer experience by communicating campaign plans to the fraud-risk team early on and coordinating marketing and fraud-prevention efforts. Download Experian’s latest fraud prevention report. Report: Holiday Marketing & Fraud
The evolution of identity verification Knowing who you are doing business with isn’t just a sound business practice to protect your bottom line. In many cases, it also is a legal requirement. Identity verification techniques have been evolving over the past few years to meet business priorities beyond fraud prevention, including customer experience, operational costs and regulatory compliance. We recently wrote about the challenges of customer authentication on mobile devices to meeting new business priorities. Fraud prevention tools have responded to these shifting priorities. While extremely fast and very accurate at detecting fraud, they also: Are less invasive to customers Provide a strong return on investment Ensure consistency in compliance and audit Listen to what Matt Ehrlich, Experian fraud and identity director of product management, has to say about how verification techniques have changed: Download our fraud prevention perspective paper to gain more insight on how you can prepare your business.
According to research from VantageScore® Solutions LLC, 30 to 35 million people are not scored by the most popular credit-scoring models. When measured by more modern scoring methodologies — methods that leverage the data that exists in a person's credit file better — as many as 10 million of these unscoreable consumers were found to have prime or near prime credit scores. The study reinforces the importance of using advanced credit scores in order to profitably grow portfolios while providing consumers with access to fair and equitable credit. Credit Scoring Gaps Are Leaving Millions of Consumers Behind VantageScore® is a registered trademark of VantageScore Solutions, LLC.
The news of the latest breach last week reported that tens of millions of customer and employee records were stolen by a sophisticated hacker incursion. The data lost is reported to include names, birth dates, Social Security numbers, and addresses. The nature of the stolen data has the potential to create long-term headaches for the organization and tens of millions of individuals. Unlike a retailer or financial breach, where stolen payment cards can be deactivated and new ones issued, the theft of permanent identity information is, well, not easily corrected. You can’t simply reissue Social Security numbers, birth dates, names and addresses. What’s more, the data likely includes identity data on millions of dependent minors, who are prime targets for identity thieves and whose credit goes frequently unmonitored. According to the Identity Theft Resource Center’s 2014 Data Breach Report, a record 783 breaches, representing 85 million records, occurred from January through September 2014 alone. The breaches have ranged across virtually every industry segment and data type. So where does all this breached data go? It goes into the massive, global underground marketplace for stolen data, where it’s bought and sold, and then used by cybercriminals and fraudsters to defraud organizations and individuals. Like any market, supply and demand determines price, and the massive quantity of recent breaches has made stolen identities more affordable to more fraudsters, exacerbating the overall problem. In fact, stolen health credentials can go for $10 each, about 10 or 20 times the value of a U.S. credit card number, according to Don Jackson, director of threat intelligence at PhishLabs, a cyber crime protection company. The big question: So what now? The answer: Assume that all data has been breached, and act accordingly. Such a statement sounds a bit trivial, but it’s a significant paradigm shift. It’s a clear-headed recognition of the implications of the ongoing, escalating covert war between cybercriminals and fraudsters, on one side, and organizations and consumers on the other. For individuals, we need to internalize this fact: our data has likely been breached, and we need to become vigilant and defend ourselves. Sign up for a credit monitoring service that covers all three credit bureaus to be alerted if your data or ID is being used in ways that indicate fraud. Include your children, as well. A child’s identity is far more valuable to a fraudster as they know it can be several years before their stolen identity is detected. Many parents do not check their child’s credit regularly, if at all. For organizations, it’s a war on two fronts: data protection and fraud prevention. And the stakes are huge, bigger than many of us recognize. We’re not just fighting to prevent financial theft, we’re fighting to preserve trust — trust between organizations and consumers, at the first level, and ultimately widespread consumer trust in the institutions of finance, commerce, and government. We must collectively strive to win the war on data protection, no doubt, and prevent future data breaches. But what breaches illustrate is that, when fundamental identity data is breached, a terrible burden is placed on the second line of defense — fraud prevention. Simply put, organizations must continually evolve their fraud prevention control and skills, and minimize the damage caused by stolen identity data. And we must do it in ways that reinforce the trust between consumers and organizations, enhance the customer experience, and frustrate the criminals. At 41st Parameter, we are at the front lines of fraud prevention every day, and what we see are risks throughout the ecosystem. Account opening is a particular vulnerability, as consumer identity data obtained in the underground will undoubtedly be used to open lines of credit, submit fraudulent tax returns, etc. unbeknownst to the consumer. Since so much data has been breached, many of these new accounts will look “clean,” presenting a major challenge for traditional identity-based fraud and compliance solutions. But it’s more than new accounts — account takeover, transactions, loyalty, every stage is in jeopardy now that so much identity data is on the loose. Even the call center is vulnerable, as the very basis for caller authentication often relies on components of identity. At 41st Parameter and Experian Fraud & Identity solutions, we advocate a comprehensive layered approach that leverages multiple solutions such as FraudNet, Precise ID, KIQ, and credit data to protect all aspects of the customer journey while ensuring a seamless, positive user experience across channels and lines of business. Read our fraud perspective paper to learn more. Now is the time to take action. http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/09/24/us-cybersecurity-hospitals-idUSKCN0HJ21I20140924
By: Scott Rhode This is the second of a three-part blog series focused on the residential solar market looking at; 1) the history of solar technology, 2) current trends and financing mechanisms, and finally 3) overcoming market and regulatory challenges with Experian’s help. Lets discuss the current trends in solar and, more importantly, the mechanisms used to finance solar in the US residential market. As I discussed in the last blog, the growth in this space has been astronomical. To illustrate this growth, there was a recent article in The Washington Post by Matt McFarland, highlighting that solar-related jobs are significantly outpacing the rest of labor market in terms of year over year growth. The article states that since 2010 the number of solar-related jobs has doubled in the US, bring the total number of jobs in this industry to 173,807. While this is still smaller in comparison to other sectors of our economy, it underscores how much growth has occurred in a short amount of time. So what is driving this explosive growth? There are a few factors that should be considered; however, in the residential solar market, financing, is the main catalyst. As you might expect, there are a variety of financial products in the market giving the consumer lots of choices. First, there are traditional loans like home improvement loans, home equity loans, or energy efficiency loans offered by a bank, credit union, or specialty finance company. For homeowners that do not choose to secure their loan against their property, there are a variety of specialty lenders that will offer long-term, unsecured loans that only file a UCC against the panels themselves. For these types of offerings, some specialty lenders will even have special credit plans for the 30% Solar Investment Tax Credit so that the homeowner can have a deferred interest plan with the expectation that once they get the tax credit from the federal government, they will pay off the special plan and all of the deferred interest will be waived. If the customer does not pay in full, the plan rolls to their regular loan plan and the customer has a higher cost of financing. Second, there is a lease product which offers zero to little down and a monthly payment that is less than the savings that the homeowner will experience on their utility bill. Of all the financing options, the lease has been the biggest driver of growth since it offers an inexpensive, no-hassle way to get all the benefits of going solar without breaking the bank. What is unusual to most people that are unfamiliar with this concept is the term of the lease, which is typically 20 years. However, when you consider that most manufacturers warrant their panels for 25 and many have a usable life of 40 years, this term does not seem all that unusual. The benefits of this program look something like this: The homeowner has an average electric utility bill of $350 / month A solar company quotes a customer a savings of $200 / month in the form of a net metering energy credit, so their bill after solar is now $150 / month The lease payment for the installed solar array, metering equipment, and monitoring software is $150 / month The homeowner’s net saving is an average of $50 / month with nothing out of pocket Over the life of the lease, energy prices will increase which will mean more savings over time so long as there are not escalators in the contract that exceed the increase in energy prices The lessor “owns” the equipment and is responsible for maintenance, performance, and insurance With this product comes complexity. Many companies offering this program do not have the cash or the appetite to take on massive debt, so they partner with Tax Equity investors to make this transaction possible. Because of the 30% ITC and accelerated depreciation, this transaction is very favorable for a Tax Equity investor like Google, US Bank, or Bank of America Merrill Lynch. There are a number of structures they can use; however, the Sale-Leaseback structure is the easiest and most efficient way to fund the transaction. While this is not “known” to the end customer, it is important because the Tax Equity Investor effectively owns the asset and has the final say in setting credit policy. This transaction does require that the developer have a stake as well; however, many of the developers go to the debt market for “back leverage” on their stake so that they can reduce the impact to their balance sheet. This complexity carries a cost, as the cost of capital is higher than most traditional loan products from established financial services firms. That said, the fact that the lease allows the customer to monetize the tax credit and accelerated depreciation in the amount financed, balances out the higher costs of capital. In the next blog we will touch more on the challenges this product, in particular, has in the market. Last, but not least, there is another mechanism gaining popularity in the market. This concept is known as community solar. One of the obstacles of the lease and Tax Equity arrangement is that the lease is only available to single family residence homeowners and, if they have multiple homes, only the homeowner’s primary residence. That means that people who rent, own a condo, own a vacation home, or own a small business do not qualify for this type of lease. As a result, community solar has become a great option. With community solar, the panels are put in an ideal location for maximum exposure to the sun and they often produce 10-15% more power than panels on a rooftop. Portions of this solar farm can be sold, rented, or sublet to consumers regardless of their living situation. As the panels produce electricity, that power gets sold to the local utility and the customer gets money from that utility that shows up as a credit on their next bill. In this structure, the customer is not required to put money down in most cases and they are signing up for a specific term. Like a rooftop lease, this structure often has a Tax Equity investor that funds the project. Again, this allows them to take the 30% ITC and accelerated depreciation which, in turn, gets monetized and lowers the costs of construction. In the final installment of this blog series, I will discuss some of the challenges that this market faces as the ITC expiration date approaches and the market becomes more mature. Leasing is driving the market, so if the ITC does not get renewed, the market will need to have a plan in place to find other innovative ways to keep solar affordable so more consumers can realize the benefits of going solar. Solar Financing — The current and future catalyst behind the booming residential solar market (Part 1)
Did you know that privacy policies do not guarantee that your information will be kept private? Most companies use privacy policies to inform customers about how their personal information may be used, i.e. sold, shared, exchanged, not necessarily guaranteeing absolute confidentiality. In today’s increasingly digital world where exchanging personal information – your name, email address, home address, etc. – for access to websites, coupons and the like has become the norm. And, it can be difficult for consumers to understand the value of their personal information. Today is the eighth annual Data Privacy Day, an international awareness effort spearheaded by the National Cyber Security Alliance (NCSA) that encourages all Internet users to consider the privacy implications of their online actions and motivate all companies to make privacy and data protection a greater priority. Since most consumers aren’t fully aware of the implications of sharing personal information, we’re taking a deeper look at what can happen when personal information is shared online. Companies that collect don’t always protect When you share personal information with a company online, that company is responsible for protecting your information. Even data that is seemingly harmless is extremely valuable to cyber criminals, like your email address or your mother’s maiden name for a password reset. When you share this valuable, personal information with a company online be sure to read the company’s privacy policy fine print in order to be certain that your information is not being shared publicly or with outside companies. In some instances, even reading the company’s fine print cannot keep your information safe. Millions were affected last year due to retail and medical data breaches, proving it difficult for companies to protect your data no matter how secure it may seem. Once cyber criminals have their hands on your personal information, you may be surprised at what they can do with it. Cyber criminals patch together your digital profile Bits and pieces of personal information stolen from companies can help cyber criminals patch together a complete picture of your digital identity. They can then use your digital identity to access more important information like your financial records from retail sites that have your credit card information stored. Many consumers leave a trail of personal information on the Internet, leading cyber criminals to steal your identity and your financial information. How to make a difference during Data Privacy Day Here are some tips on how you can increase your privacy online from the NCSA: Think of your personal information like money – value it and protect it. You are often paying for “free” services with your personal information. Before you willingly provide your information to a service, make sure it is a business you trust to handle your information with care. Manage your browser cookies to maximize your privacy and prevent unwanted tracking. Demand that businesses be honest about how they collect, use and share personal information. Be cautious about who you “friend” and communicate with online. Visit our website for more information on identity protection products you can offer your customers.