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Report: State of the Economy, June 2024

by Josee Farmer 2 min read June 20, 2024

This series will dive into our monthly State of the Economy report, providing a snapshot of the top monthly economic and credit data for those in financial services to proactively shape their business strategies.

During their June meeting, the Federal Reserve continued to hold rates steady and released an updated Summary of Economic Projections. In this update, the committee reduced 2024 rate cut projections from three to one and increased their year-end inflation expectations. Both of these updates were likely driven by a lack of downward progress in inflation in Q1. But as the Federal Reserve extends the period of restrictive rates, it places more weight on each monthly economic data release to inform the Fed’s next move.

Data highlights from this month’s report include:

  • Job creation exceeded economists’ expectations with 272,000 jobs added in May.
  • Inflation cooled in May, with annual headline inflation down from 3.4% to 3.3% and annual core inflation down from 3.6% to 3.4%.
  • Auto loan amounts decreased in Q1 as inventories continue to stabilize.

Check out our report for a deep dive into the rest of this month’s data, including the latest trends in delinquencies, spending, and the new housing market.

Download June’s report 

To have a holistic view of our current environment, it’s important to view the economy from different angles and through different lenses. Watch our experts discuss the latest economic and credit trends in the recording of our latest macroeconomic forecasting webinar and listen to our latest Econ to Action podcast.

For more economic trends and market insights, visit Experian Edge.

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Growth, risk and the rise of "hidden" business accounts As inflation remains elevated and early signs of labor market cooling emerge, the credit card landscape is entering its next phase. Over the past few weeks, policy actions and discussions around potential interest-rate caps have driven increased uncertainty across the credit card industry and broader global markets. Lenders face a careful balancing act: capturing growth opportunities while maintaining disciplined risk oversight. Our second annual State of Credit Cards Report explores the macroeconomic forces influencing the market, key shifts in originations and delinquency trends, and lender mix. New this year, the report also digs into an often‑overlooked segment: business accounts hidden inside consumer credit card portfolios. Additionally, the report offers actionable strategies to help lenders segment risk and drive disciplined growth more effectively. Key insights include: 30+ DPD delinquency rates remained above pre-pandemic levels in 2025, underscoring the need for disciplined asset‑quality monitoring. Fintechs continue to gain ground, posting a 71% YOY increase in account originations.  Business accounts masked in the consumer credit card universe represent roughly 14% of balances and are more than 50% larger than the business card universe — a material segment with distinct risk and profitability dynamics that many lenders are not explicitly managing today. The report also outlines practical strategies to: Identify and segment business behavior within consumer portfolios. Align underwriting and account management with actual usage patterns. Capture targeted growth while protecting long‑term portfolio performance. Ready to dive deeper? Download the full 2026 State of Credit Cards Report to uncover insights that can help your organization manage risk more precisely and grow with confidence. Download report

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