Tag: consumer credit

In the dynamic consumer credit landscape, understanding emerging trends is paramount for fintechs to thrive. Experian's latest fintech trends report provides deep insights into the evolving market, shedding light on crucial areas such as origination volumes, average loan balances, and delinquency trends. Let's delve into some key findings and their implications for fintech lenders. Fintech lending origination volume trends The report reveals intriguing shifts in origination volumes for unsecured personal loans and credit cards. While overall origination amounts dipped, fintechs experienced a notable decrease, signaling potential challenges in funding availability and economic uncertainties. Despite this, the total origination volume for fintechs remains robust, underlining their continued significance in the market. Fintech market share versus traditional lenders Fintechs, known for their agility and digital prowess, witnessed fluctuations in market share, particularly in the unsecured personal loan segment. While digital loans continue to drive a significant portion of originations, there's a discernible shift in market dynamics, urging fintech lenders to explore diversification strategies, including expanding into credit card offerings. Fintech lending average loan balance trends Amidst changing economic landscapes, average loan balances for both unsecured personal loans and credit cards exhibited intriguing patterns. Fintech lenders, although maintaining a competitive edge in average balances, face the challenge of balancing risk and profitability, especially amidst rising delinquency levels. Fintech lending delinquency trends One of the most critical aspects highlighted in the report is the uptick in delinquency levels for unsecured personal loans and credit cards. While fintechs navigate through economic uncertainties, there's a growing imperative to enhance risk management strategies and focus on prime and above credit tiers to mitigate potential risks. Understanding the digital borrower As digital borrowing continues to gain prominence, it's essential for fintechs to grasp the nuances of the digital borrower. With millennials emerging as key players in the digital lending landscape, fintechs must tailor their offerings to cater to the unique preferences and behaviors of this demographic segment. Looking ahead to 2024 for fintech lenders As we look to the future, data-driven decision-making and strategic portfolio management are more important than ever for fintechs. With economic uncertainties still in the mix, fintechs must leverage data and analytics to fuel growth while safeguarding against potential risks. Experian's fintech trends report serves as a guiding beacon, equipping fintechs with the knowledge and strategies needed to navigate through uncertainties and unlock opportunities for sustainable growth. The report offers actionable insights, including the imperative to conduct periodic portfolio reviews, retool data analytics and models, and remodel lending criteria to stay ahead in the competitive landscape. Learn more about our fintech solutions and how we can work together to drive profitable growth for your company. Learn more Download the report About the report: Experian's Fintech Trends Report 2024 offers a comprehensive analysis of credit trends, leveraging data from January 2019 to November 2023. The report provides valuable insights into the evolving landscape of unsecured personal loans and credit cards, empowering fintechs with actionable intelligence to thrive in a competitive market environment.

This article was updated on March 11, 2024. As a lender, it’s important to understand a consumer’s credit behavior and whether it's improving or deteriorating over time. Sure, you can pull a credit score at any moment, but it's merely a snapshot. Knowing a consumer’s credit information at a single point in time only tells part of the story. Two consumers can have the same credit score, but one consumer’s score could be moving up while another’s score could be moving down. To understand the whole story, lenders need the ability to leverage trended data to assess a consumer’s credit behavior over time. What to know about trended data Trended data provides key balance and payment data for the previous 24 months. By analyzing historical payment information, lenders can determine if a consumer is consistently paying more than the minimum payment, has a demonstrated ability to pay, and shows no signs of payment stress. It can conversely identify if a consumer is making only minimum payments and has increasing payment stress. Experian’s Trended Data is comprised of five fields of historical payment information over a 24-month period. It includes: Balance Amount Original Loan / Limit Amount Scheduled Payment Amount Actual Payment Amount Last Payment Date Knowing how a consumer uses credit, or pays back debt over time, can help lenders offer the right products and terms to increase response rates, determine up-sell and cross-sell opportunities, and limit loss exposure. Using a consumer’s historical payment information also provides a more accurate assessment of future behavior, helping lenders effectively manage changes in risk, predict balance transfer activity, and prevent attrition. The challenge For lenders to extract the benefits of trended data, they need to analyze an enormous amount of data. Five fields of data across 24 months on every trade is huge and can be difficult for lenders with limited analytical resources to manage. For example, a single consumer with 10 trades on file would have upwards of 1,200 data points to analyze. Multiply that by a file of 100,000 consumers and you are now dealing with over 120,000,000 data points. Additionally, if lenders utilize the trended data in their underwriting processing and intend to use it to decline consumers, they need to create their own adverse action reason codes to communicate to the consumer. Not all lenders are equipped to take on this level of effort. Still, there are trended data solutions to assist lenders with managing and unlocking the power of trended data. How Experian can help Experian’s pre-calculated solutions allow even the smallest lenders to quickly and effectively action on the benefits of trended data, minus the hassles of analyzing it. Trended data, and the solutions built from it, allow lenders to effectively predict where a consumer is going based on where they’ve been. And really, that can make all the difference when it comes to smart lending decisions. Get started today

During the last couple of years, volatile market conditions have made it more difficult for consumers to improve their finances. In addition, a lack of financial literacy has negatively impacted consumers’ ability to expand their buying power. This can include opening new lines of credit, which is a source of revenue for financial institutions. Empowering your consumers with credit education and resources can create opportunities for them to open more of these new accounts, which can help lead to additional revenue for your business. Credit card account openings decreased in 2023 Economic turbulence is affecting businesses everywhere, including financial institutions. Uncertain market conditions have forced banks and credit unions to take revenue-preserving actions, such as tightening their credit card loan standards for consumers. As a result, credit card digital account opening growth slowed in 2023, and the trend threatens to continue.[1] This decrease in the opening of new credit card accounts can negatively affect lenders that aim to grow their business by encouraging consumers to borrow more money. Consumers’ financial literacy also plays a role in their ability and inclination to open new accounts. Uninformed consumers may be less likely to open new accounts Without a strong understanding of finances, many consumers find themselves in an unfavorable financial situation. Less than 30% of Americans have a financial plan,[2] and lacking financial knowledge cost individuals $1,819 on average in 2022.[3] Consumers without basic knowledge of finance or credit best practices usually have lower credit scores and may be less likely to qualify for credit card offers with low interest rates. So, what can financial institutions do to counteract decreasing credit card account openings? Help improve consumers credit standing with credit education Credit education programs can have a positive effect on consumers’ credit standing and general understanding of healthy financial habits. More than 65% of consumers enrolled in a credit education program see an improvement on their credit scores.[4] Credit-educated individuals can typically attain higher credit scores, which can help improve their chances of meeting the more restrictive credit standards banks have put in place due to volatile market conditions. Consumers who are better informed about credit and finances make better financial decisions, save, and borrow more money, and may be more likely to open new credit card accounts. This presents a valuable opportunity for financial institutions to offer highly desired credit education services to the consumers who need it. Deliver services your customers want A recent study showed that 57% of consumers want their financial institution to provide resources and support to help them better manage their finances, and 54% feel that their bank is responsible for teaching strong financial habits.[5] Consumers expect these financial services from the banks they do business with. Refraining from offering them could put your business at a disadvantage when compared to the banks that do. Make sure the services you provide include credit education that empowers your consumers to become more financially confident. This can help drive consumers to borrow more money and potentially open more new credit lines, which can drive additional revenue for your business. Learn more about how offering credit education services can help your consumers save more, borrow more, and open more new accounts.  Visit our website [1] eMarketer, Credit Card Marketing 2023. [2] BusinessDIT, The State of Financial Planning, April 2023. [3] National Financial Educators Council, Cost of Financial Illiteracy Survey, 2023. [4] Experian Internal Data, 2023 credit lift study for users tracked from Dec 2020 – Dec 2022. [5] MX Technologies Inc. What Influences Where Consumers Choose to Bank. 2023.

This article was updated on September 8, 2023. Prescreen, prequalification and preapproval. The terms sound similar, but lenders beware. These credit solutions are quite different, and regulations vary depending on which product is utilized.  Let’s break it down…  What is prescreen?  Perhaps the most reliable mailbox tenant, thick envelopes splashed with “limited time offer” or other flashy designations offering various card and credit products – otherwise known as prescreen offers – are a mainstay in many households.  Prescreen is a process that happens behind-the-scenes where a lender screens a consumer’s credit to determine whether to extend a firm offer of credit. The process takes place without the consumer’s knowledge and without any negative impact to their credit score.  For lenders and financial institutions, credit prescreen is a way to pick and choose the criteria of the consumers you want to target for a particular offer – often in the form of better terms, interest rates or incentives. Typically, a list of consumers meeting specific credit criteria is compiled by a Credit Reporting Agency, like Experian, and then provided to the requesting lending institutions or their mailing service.  In other words? Increase response rates and conversion by targeting the right consumers and eliminating unqualified prospects. Additionally, prescreening consumers also reduces high-risk accounts, targeting the best prospects to reach them at the right time with the right offer for their needs.  Gone are the days of batch-and-blasting. It’s expensive and a challenge for constantly limited marketing budgets. Prescreen decreases acquisition and mailing costs by segmenting a lender’s prospect list. In one case, a lender identified more than 40 thousand loans, representing $466 million in loan growth opportunities, after using digital prescreen.   Governed by the Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA), lenders initiating prescreen campaigns for credit products must also adhere to certain rules. What qualifies one of these campaigns?  A firm offer of credit  An inquiry posting is required (though it is a “soft” inquiry)  Consumers also have the option to opt out of preapproved and prescreen credit offer lists  In addition to acquisitions via direct mail, there are various types of prescreen tailored to the multiple channels where marketing takes place in today’s world. For example, Instant Prescreen can increase new account acquisitions by performing the preapproval process in seconds, while the customer is on your website, on the phone with you or at your business.  Similar to how you might screen calls on your cell phone by letting them go to your voicemail inbox or screen candidates’ resumes before inviting them for an interview for an open position at your company, a prescreened credit offer is not much different. Focusing on your audience that is most likely to respond to your offers is an easy way to increase your ROI and should be considered a best practice when it comes to your marketing efforts.  What is prequalification?  Prequalification, on the other hand, is a consumer consent-based credit screening tool where the consumer opts-in to see which credit products they may be qualified for in real time at the point of contact. Unlike a prescreen which is initiated by the lender, the prequalification is initiated by the consumer. In this instance, envision a consumer visiting a bank and inquiring about whether they would qualify for a credit card. During a prequalification, the lender can explore if the consumer would be eligible for multiple credit products – perhaps a personal loan or HELOC. The consumer can then decide if they would like to proceed with the offer(s).  A soft inquiry is always logged to the consumer’s credit file, and the consumer can be presented with multiple credit options for qualification. No firm offer of credit is required, but adverse action may be required, and it is up to the client’s legal counsel to determine the manner, content, and timing of adverse action. When the consumer is ready to apply, a hard inquiry must be logged to the consumer’s file for the underwriting process.   With Experian’s Prequalification, you can match prospective customers with the right loan products at the point of contact, allowing you to increase approval rates and ROI.  How will a prequalification or prescreen invitation/offer impact a consumer’s credit report?  Inquiries generated by prequalification offers will appear on a consumer’s credit report. For “soft” inquiries, in both prescreen and prequalification instances, there is no impact to the consumer’s credit score.  However, once the consumer elects to proceed with officially applying for and/or accepting a new line of credit, the hard inquiry will be noted in the consumer’s report, and the credit score may be impacted. Typically, a hard inquiry subtracts a few points from a consumer’s credit score, but only for a year, depending on the scoring model.  Learn more about Prescreen | Learn more about Prequalification 

Generation Z, or people born between 1997 and 2012, make up about 27% of the American population[1] and have $360B in disposable income[2]. While they may be a young demographic now, Gen Z will soon represent a significant portion of buyers and borrowers in the United States, creating an enormous opportunity for financial institutions to start engaging with them now.  Here are three reasons why you should be marketing financial services to Gen Z. Improving financial wellness is a priority for Gen Z Gen Z is a pragmatic cohort of consumers, but they’re also uncertain and anxious about their financial future. The top concern amongst Gen Z is the cost of living. For these reasons, businesses have a unique opportunity to help those consumers feel less stressed and more confident by providing them with financial services. This can turn those consumers into loyal, long-standing customers.  Gen Z has the lowest credit score of any generation Gen Z ranks lowest in average and median VantageScore® credit score* compared to all other generations, including Gen Y (or millennials), Gen X, and baby boomers.[4] While this is partially due to Gen Z being younger than the others, it’s also a result of having shorter credit histories and fewer lines of credit. This presents a great chance for businesses to help Gen Z individuals establish responsible financial habits, such as opening a new line of credit to begin building a healthy credit history. Gen Z is actively seeking support now Consumers in the Gen Z age range recognize the importance of personal finance, but they also realize that they don’t have the knowledge needed to be successful. While people in Gen Z are still young (currently between the ages of about 11 and 26), many need guidance now for their financial wellness and many need help to keep their financial future secure. This means now is the perfect time to start building a lifetime relationship with them and become a trusted advisor by providing financial products and services to help them through their financial journey. There are about 72 million Americans in the Gen Z demographic[1]. A large percentage of this group may feel strongly about improving their financial wellness. With high levels of financial stress and generally low credit scores, many of them are looking for companies they can trust to help them build good credit and take control of their personal finances.  Since 2019, the number of consumers under the age of 30 enrolled in Experian Partner Solutions credit monitoring and identity protection services has doubled from 9% to 18%. Offering these financial tools to Gen Z is essential to building their trust and financial wellness, which can lead to an increase in future acquisition, retention, and revenue for your business. Click here to learn more *Calculated on the VantageScore® model. Your VantageScore® credit score from Experian® indicates your credit risk level and is not used by all lenders, so don’t be surprised if your lender uses a score that’s different from your VantageScore® credit score. Click here to learn more. [1] Insider Intelligence. 2023. Generation Z News: Latest characteristics, research, and facts. [2] Forbes. 2022. As Gen Z’s Buying Power Grows, Businesses Must Adapt Their Marketing. [3] Deloitte. Deloitte Gen Z and Millennial Survey 2022. Jan 2022. [4] Experian State of Credit Report. 2021.  [5] Greenlight Financial Technology, Inc. Survey finds Gen Z lacks knowledge and confidence in personal finance and investing. 2021. [6] NAPFA. NAPFA Survey on Americans’ sources for financial planning and retirement investing advice. 2021.

Believe it or not, 2023 is underway, and the new year could prove to be a challenging one for apartment operators in certain ways. In 2021 and into the beginning of 2022, demand for apartment rentals approached record levels, which shrunk vacancy rates and increased monthly rents. The rest of the year remained stagnant while other regions saw some decline, but inflation and other economic factors have many apartment communities confronted with labor shortages, and other challenges which can certainly make leasing and operating properties difficult. Against that backdrop, here are some of the technologies and solutions operators should consider for optimizing their success and efficiencies in 2023 and beyond. Tools that allow prospective residents to have a fully digital and contactless leasing experience — During the pandemic, many operators rushed to implement virtual tours, onsite self-guided tours and other solutions that allowed prospects to apply for and finalize their leases remotely. Prospective renters have undoubtedly grown fond of navigating the leasing process from their homes and taking self-guided tours when onsite, and the demand for digital solutions will surely continue even after COVID distancing is no longer a factor. Therefore, apartment owners and operators should think of these capabilities as long-term investments and always seek ways to optimize the digital leasing experience they provide. Along those lines, forward-thinking operators are employing solutions that allow them to embed credit functionality into their websites and mobile apps using modern, RESTful APIs like the Experian ConnectSM API. Not only does it enhance the information included in a lease application with credit report data, but it also allows prospective renters to easily apply for more than one property at once, enhancing their experience at the same time. Automated lease application form fill — By using information entered by a lease applicant (such as first name, last name, postal code and the last four digits of a Social Security number), this technology uses information from credit files to automatically fill other data fields in a lease application. This tool reduces the effort required by prospective renters to complete the application process, resulting in a better user experience, faster completions, greater accuracy and reduced application abandonment. Automated verification of income, assets, and employment — These solutions eliminate the need for associates to manually verify these components of a lease application. Manual verification is both time-consuming and prone to human error. In addition, automated tools eliminate the opportunity for applicants to supply falsified supporting documentation. The best part about verification is the variety of options available; leasing managers can pick and choose verification options that meet their needs. Renter Risk Score™ and custom-built scores and models applying RentBureau data — These options offer a score designed expressly to predict the likelihood that an applicant will pay rent. Renter risk score can be purchased with preset score logic, or for high-volume decisions, a model can be built calibrated for your specific leasing decisioning needs. A rental payment history report — The RentBureau Consumer Profile tool can provide detailed insight into a lease applicant's history of meeting their lease obligations, which is invaluable information during the lease application process. Having a tool to report rental payment histories to credit bureaus can be a powerful financial amenity. By reporting these payments, operators can help residents build credit histories and improve financial well-being. Such an amenity can attract and retain residents and provide them with a powerful incentive to pay rent on time and in full. In the end, tools that seek to manage risk and create improved experiences for prospective renters have a multitude of benefits. They create meaningful efficiencies for onsite staff by greatly reducing the time, resources and paperwork required to process applications and verify applicant information. This gives overextended associates more time to handle their many other responsibilities. Beyond just efficiency savings, these technologies and solutions also can help operators avoid the complications and loss of income that result from evictions. In fact, the National Association of Realtors estimates that average eviction costs $7,685. Managing risk and providing the best possible customer experience should always be top of mind for rental housing operators. And with the solutions outlined above, they can effectively accomplish those goals in 2023 and beyond.

According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q2 2022, the average new vehicle interest loan rate for consumers with a credit score between 501 and 600, also referred to as subprime, was 9.75%—compared to prime consumers with a credit score between 661 and 780, who had an average new vehicle interest loan rate of 4.03% this quarter.

Consumers are shifting to used vehicles over new, with a higher percentage of consumers financing used. The move comes as the industry continues to grapple with inventory shortages, driving vehicle values higher.

The Marketing Rule of Seven means it usually takes at least seven impressions before a consumer is compelled to act. When extending firm offers of credit to consumers, lenders have long relied on direct mail and more recently email to reach their intended audiences. But what if there are more ways to deliver a credit offer? Let’s explore how digital display retargeting can help you maximize your campaign performance and profitability. What is digital display retargeting? Digital display retargeting allows lenders to present a firm offer of credit on digital and mobile to complement a direct mail or email prescreen campaign. This solution takes credit marketing to a whole new level — instead of relying solely on direct mail or email, lenders can amplify firm offers of credit on channels like social media or authenticated websites to maximize their reach. With spending more time on these channels, digital display retargeting can provide them  with an additional opportunity to respond. Reaching the right consumers with the right offer While echoing the same credit offer on multiple channels can help elicit higher response rates, how do lenders decide to which consumer to extend that offer to? Experian’s credit database provides lenders with fresh consumer information to help them determine what kind of credit offers may be most appealing to each unique individual. Through Amplified Prospecting, lenders can then gain accurate consumer identification and matching in digital display channels to ensure offers are reaching consumers most likely to respond. Maximize your campaign reach With the combined strengths of Experian’s consumer credit data and Amplified Prospecting, lenders can extend firm offers of credit to prescreened consumers across multiple touchpoints, helping them to achieve greater visibility and higher response rates. To learn more about how Experian can help you level up your credit marketing campaigns, visit us today. Learn more

Credit scores play a massive role in a consumer’s financial life as they help determine an individual’s creditworthiness. While 62% of consumers are interested in improving their credit scores, a troublingly high percentage are unsure of where to start. What’s more, one in four Americans have no idea how credit scores are even determined. This knowledge gap presents an opportunity for financial institutions to help consumers increase their credit understanding and establish lasting relationships. Some of the benefits of providing credit education to consumers include: Consumer trust and loyalty Today’s consumers are looking for guidance and support on all things credit. Helping consumers navigate their credit reports, improve their credit scores and explore the impacts of various scenarios are all opportunities for financial institutions to meet this demand and foster loyalty. With the knowledge and tools needed to make confident and responsible financial decisions, consumers will continue to trust and look toward the same financial institutions for credit guidance as they navigate their financial journeys. Credit education is especially valuable to younger consumers. As rookies to the credit game, many Gen Zers may find credit to be mysterious, complex and difficult to grasp. Despite these feelings, Gen Zers have shown considerable interest in becoming financially literate. By continuously providing Gen Z consumers with reliable and accessible credit education early on, financial institutions can grow to become their valuable partner, educator and mentor for life. More cross-sell opportunities The more educational resources financial institutions provide their consumers, the more likely they are to pay their credit card bills on time, take out loans and mortgages they can meet and purchase within their buying power, making them prime candidates to approach for additional credit offerings. According to studies conducted by Visa Performance Solutions, consumers respond more to credit offers from institutions they currently have a relationship with than those they don’t. By providing credit education and relevant offers to existing customers, financial institutions can improve satisfaction while increasing their revenue. Enhances brand reputation While credit education allows financial institutions to strengthen their relationships with existing clients, it also gives them an opportunity to expand and acquire new ones. When consumers feel valued and cared for, they are more likely to recommend a business’s products and services to someone else. The more consumers see how much a financial institution invests in their customers’ financial well-being, the more likely they are to convert themselves. Ready to get started? Providing value to consumers is no longer just about offering great products and services; it’s about helping them understand the basics and importance of credit so that achieving their financial goals comes easily. To learn more about how credit education can help deepen customer relationships and drive business growth, visit our Experian Partners Solutions page. Learn more

Generation Z has money on their minds, and as their appetite for personal finance grows, financial institutions better be ready. Accounting for 40% of all U.S. consumers, Gen Z is comprised of digital natives with little to no memory of the world as it existed before smartphones, social media and the internet. Aside from growing up in a tech-saturated world, Gen Zers are also socially conscious and determined to take control of their financial futures. According to Credit Union Times, Gen Zers wield a purchasing power of more than $143 billion, which is projected to increase by more than 70% in the next five years. What do these insights mean for financial institutions? As the newest and soon-to-be largest cohort of consumers, Gen Zers represent an enormous opportunity for growth. While establishing a relationship with Gen Z now is key to creating lifelong customers, the same approaches used to capture previous generations may not be as effective with this younger cohort. To successfully reach and acquire Gen Z consumers, financial institutions must recognize their unique needs, preferences and experiences. Here are some key trends and preferences to consider: They live and breathe social media. According to Mintel, 99% of Gen Z adults and teens are active social media users. Despite this percentage of Gen Zers on social media, credit card issuers spent 94% of their media budget on direct mail from January 2019 to May 2021. This highlights the need for financial institutions to recognize social media as a powerful and necessary marketing vehicle. As a fast-growing consumer group with massive spending power, Gen Z makes for valuable customers, but are being missed by current marketing strategies. While direct mail is popular among millennials, financial institutions must recognize Gen Z’s preference for social media and pivot themselves to effectively reach them. By leveraging both social media and direct mail, financial institutions can dramatically increase their reach and acquire a wider pool of consumers. They want to be financially literate. Concepts like budgeting, investing and credit building can seem daunting to Gen Zers, especially if they lack the proper guidance and resources to get started. According to a NerdWallet survey, 41% of Gen Zers feel anxious about their personal finances, while 40% feel nervous and confused. To add onto their worries, older Gen Z members may have witnessed their parents struggle financially during the Great Recession or have seen millennials burdened with student loan debt. For fear of facing the same challenges as their predecessors, Gen Zers have shown great interest in taking control of their financial lives and becoming financially literate. In response to this desire for financial education, many banks and credit card issuers have taken an educational approach in their marketing by using infographics and ‘how-to’ guides to teach Gen Z about the basics of personal finance. Offering educational resources not only gives Gen Zers the confidence to make financial decisions, but it gives financial institutions the opportunity to build an early connection with this consumer group. Many banks and credit card issuers are also positioning themselves as companies Gen Zers can “grow with.” By not limiting their products to a specific life stage, these financial institutions seek to grow alongside the consumer so that they remain loyal customers even when their needs and lifestyles change. They care about what brands stand for. According to Mintel Trend Buydeology, Gen Z consumers are passionate about the causes close to their hearts and are more likely than other generation to pay a higher price for brands that support the causes they care about. With this in mind, financial institutions must prove they are authentic, socially responsible and committed to serving their communities. To resonate with Gen Z consumers and align with their preferences, financial institutions should educate themselves about social issues, take part in meaningful discussions both on and offline, and develop innovative strategies to drive real impact and change. Ready to win over Gen Z? Financial institutions have a massive opportunity to build lasting relationships with Gen Z consumers and having a pulse on what this fast-growing segment wants is a must. To learn more, check out our efforts to help marginalized and underserved communities or join our upcoming webinar on November 3, 2021. Learn more  Register for webinar

Millions of consumers lack credit history and/or have difficulty obtaining credit from mainstream financial institutions. As a result, the use of expanded Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA) – or alternative – data has continued to gain popularity among lenders and financial intuitions to enrich decisions across the entire lending lifecycle to meet the financial needs of their consumers. Experian presented in a recent webinar hosted by AFSA, where Alpa Lally, Vice President of Product Management, and David Elmore, Automotive Solutions Consultant, had a chance to speak about the benefits of FCRA data, and ways lenders can leverage this data to ease access to credit for “invisible” and below prime consumers. Watch the full webinar, “FCRA Data: The Key to Unlocking Credit Universe” and learn more about: How expanded FCRA data is being used throughout the lending lifecycle The benefits of leveraging FCRA data including providing a more holistic view of a consumer’s credit profile and behavior beyond financial services, leading to smarter, more informed lending decisions The lift FCRA data can offer when augmented with traditional credit data This webinar is a part of AFSA’s partner webinar series. To learn more about FCRA data and explore related content, please visit our FCRA Alternative Credit Data Resources Page. Learn More About FCRA-Alternative Credit Data

As lenders and consumers emerge from the pandemic, predicting the attributes of the “new normal” will be difficult. Consumer demand, credit characteristics and economic conditions have all been affected by the pandemic – changing the way we think about doing business. Regulators and legislators have also developed new priorities and expectations for financial institutions. Clint Ivester, Experian’s Solutions Consultant and VP of Sales, joined Lee Gilley and Jonathan Kkolodziej, Partners for Bradley, to share their observations from the past year at AFSA’s 2021 Independents Conference. They also discussed recommendations financial institutions should consider to achieve the best possible posture with respect to compliance and business readiness. Here are a few Q&A highlights: Q: How are stimulus packages and increased government spending affecting economic conditions? A: [Ivester]: Our Experian forecast shows that the economy will grow 6% in 2021. That is well above the 2.5% average we have seen over the last four decades and highest rate since 1983. While the economy is oriented toward growth, how strong that growth is going to be will really depend on how well things go when the “training wheels” are taken off, how robust the recovery is for lower-income workers, and how consumer spending habits have been altered by the pandemic. *Data sources include Bureau of Economic Analysis and Experian’s “COVID-19 Economics Scenarios” April 2021 Report Q: How should businesses be assessing future consumer demand, conditions, and broader economic conditions over the next few quarters? A: [Ivester]: To answer this question, we should consider some factors including unemployment. What happens with lower income workers will have a big impact on where consumer spending goes post-stimulus. While the overall economy is set for solid growth there are still 8 million people out of work with the vast majority being lower income workers. Employment for lower income workers is still down more than 20%. These workers are set to lose the most by the phase out of the federal pandemic unemployment programs and are the highest risk to lose all unemployment benefits. However, if we see a strong jobs recovery – as is very possible – in bars, restaurants, hotels and other industries, these individuals will return to more normal spending habits and consumer spending should remain robust. *Data source includes Opportunity Insights Economic Tracker Watch the full session to hear more about the discussion. For more resources and content on this topic, please visit our Look Ahead Resources page or contact us for more information.  

For credit unions of all sizes, choosing a strategic partner with the right tools, capabilities, and industry expertise to support growth while minimizing expenses is a decision critical to the bottom line. This is especially important, since the goal of achieving sustainable growth has continued to be a trending topic for credit unions since the start of the pandemic. According to this CU Times analysis of NCUA data, the fourth quarter of 2020 showed that high overhead per assets was the main factor holding down net income, and credit unions with less than $1 billion in assets fared the worst. These high overhead costs kept margins low and served to be a key contributing factor in gauging a credit union’s profitability. Overcoming this problem lies not only in improving operational efficiency, but in seeking out partners that can provide innovative insight and “right-sized,” scalable solutions to help credit unions effectively grow at a strategic pace. The less money a credit union spends earning each dollar, the more operationally efficient and resource-savvy it becomes—which in turn generates more value for both the credit union and its members. So how can a credit union successfully assess a potential partner’s ability to help them achieve goals for sustainable growth? Asking three key questions can reveal a potential partner’s operational prowess and their ability to understand and offer the right solutions tailored for an individual credit union’s need. Minimize Overhead with a Partner Who Can Help Accelerate and Support Sustainable Growth: Evaluation Questions to Ask 1. Does my potential partner offer solutions to ease the strain on staff, or help automate time-consuming, repetitive tasks and processes? Automation is not only for large credit unions. Employees at credit unions with $4 billion and less in assets often wear many hats and manage the full spectrum of credit activities, leaving leaders to ponder how much time staff is spending on rote, manual tasks throughout the end-to-end member lifecycle. As a result, credit unions are turning to automated decisioning to streamline repetitive tasks and meet increasing member expectations, while also reducing risk. To drive sustainable growth, credit unions will want to look at current processes as a means of measuring efficiency. Can existing programs handle growth to scale in all areas of the business? How can digital lending automation be increased and free up more time for staff to focus attention where it is needed most, such as high-value engagements with members and delivering a personalized member experience? Can self-service tools save your credit union valuable time and increase employee satisfaction? 2. Does my potential partner have access to the right data, advanced analytics and technology to help optimize credit decisioning? As credit unions consider different ways to minimize overhead and accelerate growth, the last few years have shown that automation, coupled with advanced analytics and technology, has taken on a second wave of focus and intense interest. A significant opportunity pertaining to automation is supporting decisioning throughout the member lifecycle, again, eliminating the need for manual processes that cannibalize time and resources. For example, access to advanced analytics and data at the onset of account acquisition can quickly inform a lender as to whether a new account should be approved or declined. Furthermore, it also presents an opportunity to lend deeper. Credit unions can leverage expanded datasets to perform an analysis on rejected applicants and make more predictive decisions – leading to incremental loans. Additionally, lenders have identified other areas where automated decisioning could speed up processes that once required manual evaluation – from account and portfolio management, to marketing and prescreening efforts, to managing early and late-stage delinquent accounts. By leveraging a partner who can support optimizing credit decisioning with the freshest data and analytics, credit unions can routinely and consistently be sure they’re making the right offers and decisions to the right customer at the right time. 3. Does my potential partner offer digital-first strategies and solutions that help reduce friction and improve the member experience? More and more members are interacting and engaging with their credit unions via digital channels. To meet their demands, credit unions – who have historically prioritized other initiatives over digital transformation– are quickly pivoting and rethinking their digital strategy to offer best-in-class digital banking and borrowing experiences, while also reducing friction. Part of this strategy includes smart, easy and well-designed applications that support sustainable growth simply by streamlining offers and reducing abandonment. When considering a potential partner, take into consideration their ability to assist with digital-first solutions, including: Real-time income and employment verification, and fraud tools to quickly and accurately confirm important factors, including the legitimacy of members, and streamline the borrowing process with minimal friction. Instant prescreen, self-service prequalification and instant credit to offer fast, easy, and convenient real-time credit decisions for members. Additionally, improving lending economics with a digital-first pre-qualification tool can not only better serve members, but also drive more apps and grow loans. Artificial intelligence, machine learning and other innovative technologies to enhance underwriting and decrease both hard inquiries on applications and the need for extensive underwriter review. Prequalification tools powered by innovative technology solutions can lead to efficient use of underwriter resources and act as a filter in front of the LOS to remove unqualified applications from hard inquiries. Technology that integrates with multiple lending and core systems and delivers solutions that integrate with multiple systems and channels. For example, to help improve conversion, the borrower experience can be offered a simple application that is designed to “get to offer” as fast as possible. This helps reduce abandonment. The process can be further streamlined by integrating data sources for ID verification, auto fill assistance and adding integrations with existing lending and core systems. To learn more about Experian and how our solutions can support and grow your credit union, contact us now. Contact Us

This is the third in a series of blog posts highlighting optimization, artificial intelligence, predictive analytics, and decisioning for lending operations in times of extreme uncertainty. The first post dealt with optimization under uncertainty and the second with predicting consumer payment behavior. In this post I will discuss how well credit scores will work for consumer lenders during and after the COVID-19 crisis and offer some recommendations for what lenders can be doing to measure and manage that model risk in a time like this. Perhaps no analytics innovation has created opportunity for more individuals than the credit score has. The first commercially available credit score was developed by MDS (now part of Experian) in 1987. Soon afterwards FICO® popularized the use of scores that evaluate the risk that a consumer would default on a loan. Prior to that, lending decisions were made by loan officers largely on the basis on their personal familiarity with credit applicants. Using data and analytics to assess risk not only created economic opportunity for millions of borrowers, but it also greatly improved the financial soundness of lending institutions worldwide. Predictive models such as credit scores have become the most critical tools for consumer lending businesses. They determine, among other things, who gets a loan and at what price and how an account such as a credit line is managed through its life cycle. Predictive models are in many cases critical for calculating loan and loss reserves, for stress testing, and for complying with accounting standards. Nearly all lenders rely on generic scores such as the FICO® score and VantageScore® credit score. Most larger companies also have a portfolio of custom scorecards that better predict particular aspects of payment behavior for the customers of interest. So how well are these scorecards likely to perform during and after the current pandemic? The models need to predict consumer credit risk even as: Nearly all consumers change their behaviors in response to the health crisis, Millions of people—in America and internationally—find their income suddenly reduced, and Consumers receive large numbers of accommodations from creditors, who have in turn temporarily changed some of their credit reporting practices in response to guidelines in the federal CARES Act. In an earlier post, I pointed out that there is good reason to believe that credit scores will tend to continue to rank order consumers from most likely to least likely to repay their debts even as we move from the longest economic expansion in history to a period of unforeseen and unexpected challenges. But the interpretation of the score (for example, the log odds or the bad rate) may need to be adjusted. Furthermore, that assumes that the model was working well on a lender’s population before this crisis started. If it has been a long time since a scorecard was validated, that assumption needs to be questioned. Because experts are considering several different scenarios regarding both the immediate and long-term economic impacts of COVID-19, it’s important to have a plan for ongoing monitoring as long as necessary. Some lenders have strong Model Risk Management (MRM) teams complying with requirements from the Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC). Those resources are now stretched thin. Other institutions, with fewer resources for MRM, are now discovering gaps in their model inventories as they implement operational changes. In either case, now’s the time to reassess how well scorecards are working. Good model validation practices are especially critical now if lenders are to continue to make the sound data-driven decisions that promote fairness for consumers and financial soundness for the institution. If you’re a credit risk manager responsible for the generic or custom models driving your lending, servicing, or capital allocation policies, there are several things you can do--starting now--to be sure that your organization can continue to make fair and sound lending decisions throughout this volatile period: Assess your model inventory. Do you have good documentation showing when each of the models in your organization was built? When was it last validated? Assign a level of criticality to each model in use. Starting with your most critical models, perform a baseline validation to determine how the model was performing prior to the global health crisis. It may be prudent to conduct not only your routine validation (verifying that the model was continuing to perform at the beginning of the period) but also a baseline validation with a shortened performance window (such as 6-12 months). That baseline validation will be useful if the downturn becomes a protracted one—in which case your scorecard models should be validated more frequently than usual. A shorter outcome window will allow a timelier assessment of the relationship between the score and the bad rate—which will help you update your lending and servicing policies to prevent losses. Determine if any of your scorecards had deteriorated even before the global pandemic. Consider recalibrating or rebuilding those scorecards. (Use metrics such as the Population Stability Index, the K-S statistic and the Gini Coefficient to help with that decision.) Many lenders chose not to prioritize rebuilding their behavioral scorecards for account management or collections during the longest period of economic growth in memory. Those models may soon be among the most critical models in your organization as you work to maintain the trust of your accountholders while also maintaining your institution’s financial soundness. Once the CARES accommodation period has expired, it will be important to revalidate your models more frequently than in the past—for as long as it takes until consumer behavior normalizes and the economy finds its footing. When you find it appropriate to rebuild a scorecard model, consider whether now is the time to implement ethical and explainable AI. Some of our clients are finding that Machine Learned models are more predictive than traditional scorecards. Early Experian research using data from the last recession indicates this will continue to be true for the foreseeable future. Furthermore, Experian has invested in Research and Development to help these clients deliver FCRA-compliant Adverse Action reasons to their consumers and to make the models explainable and transparent for model risk governance and compliance purposes. The sudden economic volatility that has resulted from this global health crisis has been a shock to all organizations. It is important for lenders to take the pulse of their predictive models now and throughout the downturn. They are especially critical tools for making sound data-driven business decisions until the economy is less volatile. Experian is committed to helping your organization during times of uncertainty. For more resources, visit our Look Ahead 2020 Hub. Learn more