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Three insights from our 2023 Holiday spending report

Published: September 14, 2023 by Hayley Schneider, Content Marketing Manager

Three expert holiday spending insights for 2023

The holiday season is just around the corner, and retailers and marketers are gearing up for the busiest shopping period of the year. It’s crucial to understand how consumer behavior is evolving and what emerging trends to expect. Experian’s 2023 Holiday spending trends and insights report analyzes recent trends, consumer spending habits, and anticipates what’s to come in 2023 to help you deliver a top-notch shopping experience this holiday season.

In this blog post, we’ll cover three key insights from our report.

1. Consumers are shopping earlier

It’s no secret that December has always been the go-to month for consumers when it comes to holiday spending. However, holiday shopping now starts earlier, particularly with online sales.

A chart that shows holiday sales by month (October-December) from 2019-2022.

This can be attributed to a surge in promotions and deals, enticing shoppers to open their wallets ahead of time, giving a significant boost to holiday sales. Notably, Cyber Week sales have proven to be an influential factor, accounting for 8% of total consumer holiday spending.

Experian tip

Reach the right shoppers with your promotions with sell-side targeting. This powerful approach gives you control over where your ads are placed while ensuring maximum visibility through direct connections with publishers. Whether on mobile, web, or CTV, this seamless ad experience will engage your audience effectively.

2. Online sales are on the rise

The popularity of online holiday sales is continuously growing, surpassing in-store shopping. There has been a consistent 1% year-over-year increase in online sales, while in-store sales have seen a 1% decrease.

“It’s easier for consumers to comparison shop for large ticket items online that they might find at a mass retailer or office supply store. Consumers prefer to have larger, bulkier items shipped directly to their home for minimal cost. By shopping online, consumers can save time since they don’t need to wait in checkout lines.”

Anna Liparoto, Sr. Account Executive, Retail & CPG
A chart that shows online vs. in-store sales in 2022 from October-December.

Although online sales currently make up only one-third of all holiday shopping, there is immense potential for further expansion. Mass retailers and office, electronics, and games industries particularly excel in online holiday sales. While in-store purchases remain the primary choice for holiday shoppers, consumer online and offline activities intersect before the final purchase.

Experian tip

Take advantage of the surge in online shopping by diversifying your marketing channels. An agnostic identity graph can bring together device and media data, capturing valuable user insights. By gaining a holistic view of your target audience, you’ll be able to optimize your ad spend and allocate resources effectively, ultimately boosting your return on investment.

“Omnichannel targeting during the upcoming holiday season will continue to prove to be the best way to reach scale and maximize ROI across all marketing channels.”

Joe LigÉ, Head of Enterprise Demand Partnerships

3. 2023 holiday spending will be on par with 2022

During the holiday season in 2022, consumer spending showed an anticipated increase, although the growth rate was slightly lower compared to previous years. October saw a surge in average consumer spending, indicating a swift response to early discounts and promotions offered by retailers.

A chart that shows the year-over-year change in consumer spending from 2019-2022 from October-December.

As the holiday season progressed, holiday spending gradually slowed down and reached a level similar to that of the previous year. Overall, there was a modest 2% growth. Looking into the future, if economic conditions remain stable in the second half of 2023, we can expect holiday spending to align with the figures from last year.

Experian tip

To truly maximize impact, consider data enrichment. By diving deeper into your target audience’s preferences and behaviors, you can better tailor your strategies and seamlessly integrate the enriched data across various channels. This allows you to unlock the true potential of your ad inventory, creating more meaningful connections with your audience.

Download our 2024 report

Get ready for the holiday shopping season with Experian’s 2024 Holiday spending trends and insights report. Inside you’ll find:

  • Analysis of past trends and what they mean for 2024
  • Exclusive predictions for the upcoming holiday season
  • The top audiences to activate this holiday season

To access to all of our predictions for this year’s holiday shopping season, download our 2024 Holiday spending trends and insights report today.

Contact us today

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Using consumer data to win big on Black Friday and Cyber Monday 2025

As marketers gear up for the 2025 holiday season, economic turbulence, tariffs, and shifting digital habits are changing how and where consumers shop. Black Friday and Cyber Monday are still set to be the crown jewels of retail, but winning this year means leaning into data, omnichannel activation, and tools that help you do more with less as you start your Black Friday planning.  Let’s explore this year’s Black Friday trends in relation to last year’s and how to make the most of every opportunity in the 2025 holiday season. Spending trends we saw in 2024 After years of economic uncertainty, Black Friday 2024 marked a return to retail “normalcy” with record-setting online and in-store shopping that reflected growing optimism and smarter behaviors: Online Black Friday sales increased by 10.2% from 2023, largely due to better-timed deals and earlier shopping. Mobile shopping made up 69% of global purchases. In-store traffic rebounded, surpassing online during Cyber Week for the first time in years. Buy now, pay later (BNPL) added $686 million to online sales — an 8.8% YoY increase — as consumers spread out their holiday spending. Retailers using AI tools (like chatbots and shopping assistants) saw up to 15% more conversions. Ultimately, last year’s Black Friday e-commerce trends showed that shoppers prioritized flexible payments, value, and easy, personalized buying experiences. Key products and categories in 2024 After years of favoring lower-cost essentials, consumers returned to higher-ticket purchases during Cyber Week. The share of expensive goods sold online rose over 15% compared to pre-season figures, with AI-powered product recommendations leading consumers to top-selling products like: AirPods Pro Ninja Creami Our Place Always Pan Vitamix blenders Oura Ring The highest-performing gift categories included electronics, apparel, furniture and bedding, groceries, and cosmetics. 2024 Black Friday trends we expect to continue in 2025 As we reflect on a record-breaking 2024 holiday season, we predict many of the key Cyber Monday trends and Black Friday strategies for retailers in 2024 will carry over and intensify in 2025: Mobile will remain the primary shopping channel. The shift to early shopping will persist. AI-driven efficiencies will play an increasing role. Retailers that focus on the customer experience will capture the most wallet share. As a marketer, you can use these insights to plan your Black Friday e-commerce strategy and meet audiences where and when they scroll and shop. Projected growth YoY While 2025 holiday retail shopping may not match the explosive growth of 2023 to 2024, consumers are still expected to show up in force for Black Friday in 2025. The National Retail Federation projects that overall U.S. holiday sales will rise between 2.7% and 3.7% compared to last year. Experian’s 2025 Q1 consumer data paints a more nuanced picture: Mass retail transactions remain above 2024 levels, but YoY growth is slowing, from +8% in January to +4% in May. Department stores, which grew 10% YoY in January, have since declined to -3% by May. Apparel saw a similar trajectory, slipping from +7% growth in Q1 to slightly negative growth leading up to the summer months. This slowdown suggests early signs of consumer fatigue, especially in discretionary categories, as inflation and tariffs continue to erode the spending power of price-sensitive consumers and small brands that rely heavily on imports. Emerging trends and behaviors to expect in 2025 With inflation still weighing on household budgets and new tariffs potentially reducing consumer spending power by up to $78 billion, brands and shoppers are entering the holiday season with uncertainty. Roughly 91% of consumers may adjust their buying habits in response to tariff-driven price increases and inflation. Consumers are still motivated by value, but they’ll expect more for their money and may start deal-hunting even earlier this season. You’ll need to be agile with your messaging, inventory, and budget allocation, as shoppers will still spend when the experience is seamless, personalized, and smart. Let’s explore the key trends shaping the 2025 holiday season and how you can build them into your omnichannel marketing plan before the rush hits. Omnichannel campaigns In 2025, holiday shoppers will be more intentional than impulsive, which means they may zigzag between channels — browsing products on TikTok, watching TV ads, researching on Google, and checking out in-store or online before purchasing. They’ll want consistent, personalized experiences no matter where they engage.  This means you can’t rely on a single sales touchpoint anymore and must deliver a seamless experience wherever your audience spends time. Forrester shows 21% of global B2C leaders are already prioritizing omnichannel, which makes it a competitive necessity. Fortunately, these efforts pay off. Omnichannel shoppers spend 1.5x more per month than those who shop on a single channel. How Experian helps Experian simplifies omnichannel marketing. Our identity graph connects hashed emails, mobile ad IDs (MAIDs), connected TV (CTV) IDs, and more so you can define your audience once and reach them consistently across every major channel.  With unified data, identity, and activation, we help you cut through platform silos and deliver coordinated, cross-device campaigns that actually feel connected. Mobile first In 2024, over 70% of orders and $195 billion in sales happened on mobile devices, according to Salesforce. As more consumers browse holiday deals from the couch, car, or checkout line, mobile-first shopping is among the top Cyber Monday retail trends and the main channel for on-the-go purchases. For marketers, this means your mobile experience can make or break your Black Friday results. Responsive design, fast load times, and smooth checkout flows are the new expectations. Brands that invest in sleek mobile sites, intuitive apps, and frictionless buy online, pick up in-store (BOPIS) options will better meet and convert customers where they are at key moments. How Experian helps With Experian, you can reach mobile-first shoppers precisely at scale. Our identity graph connects MAIDs to individuals, so you can activate campaigns across mobile apps, SMS, and social with confidence. Define your audience once and deliver consistently personalized offers wherever they scroll, search, or shop. CTV On Black Friday 2025, shoppers won’t just be scrolling — they’ll be streaming, too. CTV continues to surge as a key channel for holiday shoppers, with viewership far outpacing ad spend. In 2024, CTV drove 31% of digital audience activation revenue. With nearly half of U.S. viewers expected to tune into free ad-supported TV (FAST) in 2025, CTV is becoming a core part of the Black Friday media mix. Still, many marketers underestimate the channel, assuming it’s strictly an upper-funnel awareness channel rather than a direct driver of conversions. In reality, CTV can influence high-intent holiday shoppers closer to purchase than many assume. With more consumers engaging with FAST during the holidays, CTV offers scalable, measurable reach and can fuel conversions across the entire funnel. And when paired with identity resolution and cross-device targeting, it becomes a powerful full-funnel tool. How Experian helps Experian gives marketers the household-level insights and activation capabilities to reach the right shoppers at the right frequency across platforms — a must for a high-volume weekend like Black Friday. Our identity graph connects devices within a household to manage frequency, unify messaging, and eliminate waste.  Plus, with support for Universal IDs like Unified I.D. 2.0 (UID2), you can activate audiences across CTV environments — including FAST — using login-based, privacy-compliant signals for a campaign that connects, converts, and performs on the biggest shopping weekend of the year. Signal loss Although Google has reversed its plan to phase out third-party cookies, 40% of browser traffic no longer supports them. You now need various identifiers across devices and platforms to get a complete customer view, especially during Black Friday when reach and precision are key. That’s why marketers are shifting to alternative IDs like UID2, ID5, and Hadron ID to maintain reach. In 2024, we saw a 50% increase in Experian clients using alternative IDs and a 30% jump in the number resolved to individuals in our Digital Graph. These IDs are unlocking up to 60% incremental reach in campaigns compared to cookies. Preparing a multi-ID approach and incorporating privacy-first strategies, such as contextual targeting, can give you a competitive edge this holiday season. How Experian helps Experian’s identity solutions connect all your digital and offline identifiers into a single, privacy-forward customer profile. This lets you recognize and reach your audiences no matter what device or platform they’re using. Plus, with Contextually-Indexed Audiences, you can activate high-performing segments instantly in major demand-side platforms (DSPs) without cookies to maintain and improve addressability during the holidays. RMNs Retail media networks (RMNs) are set to capture 20% of digital ad spend in 2025. In particular, off-site retail media is expected to surge 42.1% this year, driving more Black Friday campaigns into channels like CTV, programmatic, and social. This shift reflects a growing demand for full-funnel strategies, broader reach, and cross-channel measurement. RMNs that extend their first-party data beyond owned platforms will be best positioned to deliver results during peak shopping periods like Cyber Week. However, off-site success hinges on clean, connected data. Many RMNs still face fragmented views of their customers, making it harder to scale audiences and measure performance. How Experian helps Experian helps RMNs scale off-site by resolving fragmented identities, enriching first-party data, and enabling seamless activation across channels. Our identity graph connects key digital identifiers to unify customer profiles, while our audience insights add depth with demographic, behavioral, and purchase data. Curation Curation is quickly becoming a go-to Black Friday marketing strategy, helping advertisers connect with high-value audiences by blending inventory with audience and contextual data. In fact, by 2026, private marketplace ad spending is projected to grow by $31 billion. Instead of choosing between wide-open auctions or direct publisher deals, curation offers a powerful middle ground through curated private marketplaces (PMPs) built on first-party publisher data, contextual signals, and alternative IDs. How Experian helps Now unified with Audigent, Experian is setting a new standard for curated media buying. Our Curated Deals combine Experian’s powerful identity and data capabilities with Audigent’s flexible activation and audience customization. You can activate high-performing audiences across DSPs or directly through Audigent’s PMPs to maximize precision, privacy, and scale ahead of the biggest shopping week of the year. AI-powered shopping experiences AI is becoming a co-pilot for holiday shoppers and reshaping the customer journey. 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We also offer AI-powered audience recommendations and real-time contextual signals, enabling you to quickly build and activate the right segments at scale. How to prepare for Black Friday 2025 Now that we’ve covered Black Friday trends for this year, it’s time to talk about how you can build them into a data-powered marketing strategy. Here’s where we suggest you focus your Black Friday planning for Cyber Week 2025. Understand and segment your audience Winning Black Friday 2025 starts with knowing your audience and how they shop so you can reach them at optimal times with messaging that resonates. Whether you\’re targeting early-bird deal hunters or last-minute gifters, audience precision is the foundation for success this holiday season — and Experian can help. Purchase intent Drive performance by identifying consumers actively in the market for holiday purchases. 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We offer: Diverse, high-fidelity partner audiences Easily activate audiences from 31+ premium data providers, including: Attain: Real-time, permissioned transaction data from 8 million U.S. consumers Alliant: Predictive audiences built from billions of consumer transactions across key verticals Circana: Loyalty-based CPG and general merchandise audiences Dun & Bradstreet: Privacy-compliant B2B audiences based on firmographic and professional attributes Flexible activation across top platforms Our identity graph powers our data marketplace, enabling audiences to be easily activated and highly addressable across display, mobile, and CTV with 10+ activation platforms, including Madhive, Open AP, Optimum, and Yieldmo. Privacy-first audience planning All data in our marketplace meets strict privacy and compliance standards, helping brands scale campaigns confidently. 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Want help building your Black Friday marketing strategy? Let’s talk. Latest posts

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With tools like Marketing Attributes, Contextually-Indexed Audiences, and Audigent PMPs, we make it possible to connect meaningfully without crossing privacy boundaries. Let’s talk about how we can help you lead the way. Latest posts

Jun 30,2025 by Experian Marketing Services

Inside Experian’s solutions for SSPs with Yieldmo

Supply-side platforms (SSPs) are expected to deliver more than inventory—they’re being asked to support sell-side targeting strategies, campaign results, and proof of performance. To meet that demand, SSPs need more than access to inventory. They need better data, better tools, and a way to bring it all together. Experian’s solutions for SSPs We built Experian’s solutions for SSPs with that demand in mind. By combining identity resolution, audience targeting, and third-party measurement, we help platforms move beyond basic transactions. Whether you’re doing sell-side targeting, supporting direct deals, or looking to support campaign validation, our tools make it easier to create value for buyers—and keep them coming back. Our solutions that help SSPs: Resolve identity across digital touchpoints using our industry-leading Digital Graph Build differentiated audiences using over 2,400 Experian Audiences and Partner Audiences in Audience Engine Support advertiser-direct relationships with tools to create, activate, and host custom segments Measure real outcomes like in-store visitation and sales through Outcomes, our third-party validated reporting suite Together, these capabilities allow SSPs to produce data-driven deals, increase addressability, and meet buyer demand for smarter, more measurable media. Campaign snapshot: Yieldmo + Experian Yieldmo, an advertising platform known for its creative formats and data-informed approach, has already put this solution to work. Here’s how they built a custom strategy for a major athletic retail client using Experian\’s solutions for SSPs. The challenge: Drive in-store traffic and reach new buyers Yieldmo supports a leading athletic retailer’s seasonal campaigns focused on in-store traffic. This advertiser wanted to reach new buyers—specifically those who might otherwise shop with a competitor. To do this, they needed access to strong audience segments with reliable data and the flexibility to act quickly across channels. This was the first time Yieldmo applied Experian Audiences to this retailer’s campaigns. The stakes were high: the client was looking for better in-store outcomes and a more streamlined activation workflow. The solution: Experian\’s activation solution for SSPs Using Experian’s Audience Engine, which includes our proprietary and third-party data marketplace, Yieldmo built a flexible, high-performing media plan that spanned display inventory and included both conquesting and primary in-store shopper segments. The team selected and activated: Apparel and footwear audiences built from Experian and partner data providers In-store shopper segments targeting retail behavior signals Competitive purchasers to capture likely buyers from other athletic brands Our data marketplace allowed Yieldmo to combine Experian Audiences with Partner Audiences from providers like Alliant, Circana, Sports Innovation Lab, and Webbula—all in one place. Manual audience creation used to take days. Now, Yieldmo can build and activate campaigns through a streamlined, self-serve workflow. By working in the Audience Engine platform, Yieldmo was able to avoid multiple contracts and manual requests. They filtered audiences by brand, tailored segments to their goals, and launched without delays. “Experian’s data marketplace in Audience Engine fills a critical gap—letting us quickly search by brand, build smarter conquest segments, and activate custom audiences fast.”Abby Littlejohn, Director of Sales Planning, Yieldmo The results: Expected lift in store visits While final in-store lift results are pending, the early performance metrics are promising: Click-through rates are at and above historical benchmarks across both conquesting and primary shopper segments. Using Audience Engine’s self-serve tools, Yieldmo created audiences faster and more easily. They reduced their workload by minimizing the need for manual data wrangling. “We include Experian audience segments in 80% of formal RFPs. Between contract simplicity, data quality, and campaign results, Experian has become our go-to for third-party audience targeting.”Nelson Montouchet, AVP, Strategic Partnerships, Yieldmo Download the full case study Bring this to your platform Whether you’re looking to monetize more effectively, build deeper advertiser relationships, or stand out with sell-side targeting offerings, we designed Experian’s solutions for SSPs to do exactly that. With our industry-leading Digital Graph, over 2,400 syndicated audiences, partner data, flexible self-serve tools, and outcome-based measurement, SSPs can now move faster and go further—without compromising scale or precision. Get in touch with our team Latest posts

Jun 25,2025 by Experian Marketing Services

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About Experian Marketing Services

At Experian Marketing Services, we use data and insights to help brands have more meaningful interactions with people. As leaders in the evolution of the advertising landscape, Experian Marketing Services can help you identify your customers and the right potential customers, uncover the most appropriate communication channels, develop messages that resonate, and measure the effectiveness of marketing activities and campaigns.

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