Macroeconomic forecasting and regional trends - July 2024

Experian's latest Commercial Pulse Report highlights how risk profiles vary significantly by industry and business age.

🔹 New businesses in sectors like Construction and Food Services face higher delinquency rates, signaling elevated credit risks.
🔹 Meanwhile, industries like Retail and Healthcare maintain stable performance, regardless of business maturity—offering balanced opportunities for lenders.

Understanding these dynamics is critical for tailoring lending strategies, mitigating risk, and supporting business growth across industries.

Check out the full report to see how these trends could impact your strategy!

Subscribe to Commercial Pulse Report

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the credit card landscape, offering key insights to help your business tackle today’s challenges and uncover opportunities for growth.

Key insights:

• Credit card debt reached an all-time high of $1.17 trillion in Q3 2024.
• About 19 million U.S. households were considered underbanked in 2023.
• Bot-led fraud attacks doubled from January to June 2024.

Watch the recording of the Quarterly Business Credit Review webinar, where Experian shared and discussed critical insights from the latest Main Street Report.

Why you should watch:

• Leading Experts on Commercial and Macro-Economic Trends
• Credit insights and trends on 30+ Million active businesses
• Industry Hot Topics Covered (Inclusive of Business Owner and Small Business Data)
• Commercial Insights you cannot get anywhere else 
• Peer Insights with Interactive Polls (Participate)
• Discover and understand small business trends to make informed decisions
• Actionable takeaways based on recent credit performance

Visit our Commercial Insights Hub for more economic insights and reports on small business. 

The U.S. (United States) has been in a state of suspended animation from a small business perspective. The domestic election cycle was full of promises focused on government spending to resolve consumer and small business perceived challenges for the next four years. As we emerge from the election cycle, with a clean transition expected, what rhetoric will become a reality is creating uncertainty among lenders and small businesses. Macroeconomic indicators are leaning positive, while stubborn inflation increases prices and borrowing costs. Lenders are targeting a looser environment for underwriting as cashflows remain positive and small businesses feel the rush of holiday shopping. Growth is coming in 2025; the question is how quickly companies can prepare and maneuver through the next 6 months of policy and global volatility.