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Report
Published October 8, 2024
Commercial Commercial Insights Credit & Economic Trends Economic & Market InsightsAs the U.S. economy cools, small businesses face the dual pressures of year-end operations and the holiday season. Consumer spending has exceeded expectations, driven by savings depletion and increased reliance on credit, particularly among Gen Z—a trend raising concerns about long-term credit health. However, rising costs for essential expenses are beginning to constrain spending power, alongside slowing consumer sentiment ahead of an election cycle marked by uncertainty. Despite these challenges, small businesses are preparing for the holidays with optimism, building inventories to capture year-end growth. Credit markets remain accessible, with looser lending criteria offering a supportive backdrop. As the economy aims for a soft landing, small businesses have a chance to close the year on a positive note.
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The latest Experian Commercial Pulse Report highlights a remarkable rebound for the Leisure & Hospitality sector:
✈️ TSA screened 903M+ passengers in 2024—a 6.5% increase over pre-pandemic levels.
🏨 Hotel occupancy rates are recovering, though still below pre-pandemic levels, as corporate travel remains reduced.
📊 Credit risk scores across subsectors are steadily improving, reflecting stabilizing financial health.
These trends showcase the sector’s resilience, supported by lower travel inflation and strong consumer demand despite economic pressures.
Credit managers, are you leveraging these insights to adjust your strategies?
Check out the full report to see how these trends could impact your strategy!
The economy is heading into the new year on solid footing and the credit environment is showing early signs of stabilizing after two years of rising delinquency, tighter lending standards, and slowing credit growth. In the Q4 Lending Conditions Chartbook, Chief Economist Joseph Mayans breaks down key economic trends and dives deep into the latest developments in credit conditions across products and regions.
As published on the Business Information blog, Experian's latest Commercial Pulse Report highlights how risk profiles vary significantly by industry and business age.
🔹 New businesses in sectors like Construction and Food Services face higher delinquency rates, signaling elevated credit risks.
🔹 Meanwhile, industries like Retail and Healthcare maintain stable performance, regardless of business maturity—offering balanced opportunities for lenders.
Understanding these dynamics is critical for tailoring lending strategies, mitigating risk, and supporting business growth across industries.
Check out the full report to see how these trends could impact your strategy!