Report
Published February 23, 2023
Commercial Commercial InsightsThe fourth quarter boasted open commercial lending markets, inclusive of all tiers of credit risk, even as measured commercial delinquencies returned to pre-pandemic levels. An increasing number of commercial lenders are developing product and underwriting strategies to limit the expected exposure in a near term recession. The Fed is unlikely to cut rates in the near term as heightened inflation lingers. Higher costs of goods and services will pressure spending behavior as affordability tightens and personal cashflows thin.
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Leisure and Hospitality Resilience and Recovery
The latest Experian Commercial Pulse Report highlights a remarkable rebound for the Leisure & Hospitality sector:
✈️ TSA screened 903M+ passengers in 2024—a 6.5% increase over pre-pandemic levels.
🏨 Hotel occupancy rates are recovering, though still below pre-pandemic levels, as corporate travel remains reduced.
📊 Credit risk scores across subsectors are steadily improving, reflecting stabilizing financial health.
These trends showcase the sector’s resilience, supported by lower travel inflation and strong consumer demand despite economic pressures.
Credit managers, are you leveraging these insights to adjust your strategies?
Check out the full report to see how these trends could impact your strategy!
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Navigating Industry-Specific Risks
As published on the Business Information blog, Experian's latest Commercial Pulse Report highlights how risk profiles vary significantly by industry and business age.
🔹 New businesses in sectors like Construction and Food Services face higher delinquency rates, signaling elevated credit risks.
🔹 Meanwhile, industries like Retail and Healthcare maintain stable performance, regardless of business maturity—offering balanced opportunities for lenders.
Understanding these dynamics is critical for tailoring lending strategies, mitigating risk, and supporting business growth across industries.
Check out the full report to see how these trends could impact your strategy!
Webinar
Q3 2024 Quarterly Business Credit Review
Watch the recording of the Quarterly Business Credit Review webinar, where Experian shared and discussed critical insights from the latest Main Street Report.
Why you should watch:
- Leading Experts on Commercial and Macro-Economic Trends
- Credit insights and trends on 30+ Million active businesses
- Industry Hot Topics Covered (Inclusive of Business Owner and Small Business Data)
- Commercial Insights you cannot get anywhere else
- Peer Insights with Interactive Polls (Participate)
- Discover and understand small business trends to make informed decisions
- Actionable takeaways based on recent credit performance
Visit our Commercial Insights Hub for more economic insights and reports on small business.
Report
Q3 2024 Experian Main Street Report
The U.S. (United States) has been in a state of suspended animation from a small business perspective. The domestic election cycle was full of promises focused on government spending to resolve consumer and small business perceived challenges for the next four years. As we emerge from the election cycle, with a clean transition expected, what rhetoric will become a reality is creating uncertainty among lenders and small businesses. Macroeconomic indicators are leaning positive, while stubborn inflation increases prices and borrowing costs. Lenders are targeting a looser environment for underwriting as cashflows remain positive and small businesses feel the rush of holiday shopping. Growth is coming in 2025; the question is how quickly companies can prepare and maneuver through the next 6 months of policy and global volatility.